North American Construction Stock Price Prediction
| NOA Stock | USD 13.37 0.10 0.74% |
Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2928 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9824 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.1097 | Wall Street Target Price 29.3064 |
Using North American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of North American Construction from the perspective of North American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards North American using North American's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards North using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of North American's stock price.
North American Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in North American's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards North. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of North American stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 17.2698 | Short Percent 0.0107 | Short Ratio 10.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 681.3 K | 50 Day MA 14.952 |
North American Const Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to North American's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in North. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding North can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around North American Construction. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of North American's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about North American.
North American Implied Volatility | 0.68 |
North American's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of North American Construction stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if North American's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that North American stock will not fluctuate a lot when North American's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in North American to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying North because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
North American after-hype prediction price | USD 13.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current North contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that North American Construction will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0425% per day over the life of the 2025-11-21 option contract. With North American trading at USD 13.37, that is roughly USD 0.005682 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating North American's daily price movement you should consider acquiring North American Construction options at the current volatility level of 0.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out North American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. North American After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of North American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in North American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of North American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
North American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting North American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on North American's historical news coverage. North American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.80 and 17.02, respectively. We have considered North American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
North American is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of North American Const is based on 3 months time horizon.
North American Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as North American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading North American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with North American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.39 | 3.61 | 0.21 | 0.37 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.37 | 13.41 | 0.30 |
|
North American Hype Timeline
On the 7th of September North American Const is traded for 13.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.37. North is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 13.41 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.39%. The volatility of related hype on North American is about 383.23%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.74. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.17 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 44.09 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 370.81 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out North American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.North American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to North American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict North American's future price movements. Getting to know how North American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how North American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| OEC | Orion Engineered Carbons | 0.03 | 9 per month | 3.46 | (0.02) | 4.80 | (5.98) | 27.31 | |
| ESI | Element Solutions | (0.03) | 10 per month | 0.96 | 0.14 | 2.91 | (1.83) | 6.36 | |
| KRO | Kronos Worldwide | 0.36 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.89 | (4.19) | 12.89 | |
| FF | FutureFuel Corp | (0.01) | 7 per month | 2.10 | (0.01) | 3.62 | (3.26) | 11.85 | |
| PRM | Perimeter Solutions SA | 0.25 | 8 per month | 0.76 | 0.35 | 6.57 | (2.26) | 11.57 | |
| ECVT | Ecovyst | (0.17) | 8 per month | 1.93 | 0.08 | 3.49 | (2.67) | 11.88 | |
| KWR | Quaker Chemical | 3.16 | 8 per month | 1.83 | 0.14 | 4.80 | (3.55) | 15.11 | |
| MTX | Minerals Technologies | 1.90 | 8 per month | 1.94 | 0.04 | 4.37 | (3.35) | 16.93 | |
| IOSP | Innospec | 1.55 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.67 | (2.51) | 6.62 | |
| FUL | H B Fuller | 2.38 | 9 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 3.95 | (2.57) | 13.35 |
North American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine North price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for North using various technical indicators. When you analyze North charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About North American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of North American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as North American Construction, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of North American based on analysis of North American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to North American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to North American's related companies. | 2022 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0126 | 0.0128 | 0.015 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.8 | 0.71 | 0.83 |
Story Coverage note for North American
The number of cover stories for North American depends on current market conditions and North American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that North American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about North American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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North American Short Properties
North American's future price predictability will typically decrease when North American's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of North American Construction often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential North American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. North American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 77.9 M |
Complementary Tools for North Stock analysis
When running North American's price analysis, check to measure North American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy North American is operating at the current time. Most of North American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of North American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move North American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of North American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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