Kingdee International Software Stock Price Prediction
KGDEF Stock | USD 1.83 0.00 0.00% |
Momentum 100
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Kingdee International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kingdee International Software from the perspective of Kingdee International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kingdee International to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kingdee because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kingdee International after-hype prediction price | USD 2.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kingdee |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kingdee International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kingdee International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kingdee International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kingdee International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kingdee International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Kingdee International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kingdee International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kingdee International's historical news coverage. Kingdee International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.89 and 3.19, respectively. We have considered Kingdee International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kingdee International is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kingdee International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kingdee International Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kingdee International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingdee International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kingdee International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.21 | 1.15 | 0.21 | 0.06 | 16 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 16 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.83 | 2.04 | 11.48 |
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Kingdee International Hype Timeline
Kingdee International is now traded for 1.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Kingdee is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 113.86%. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 11.48%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Kingdee International is about 435.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.89. Kingdee International Software has accumulated 123.84 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.02, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Kingdee International has a current ratio of 1.0, suggesting that it may not be capable to disburse its financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Kingdee International until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kingdee International's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kingdee International sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kingdee to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kingdee International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 16 days. Check out Kingdee International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kingdee International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kingdee International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kingdee International's future price movements. Getting to know how Kingdee International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kingdee International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
GZITF | Yuexiu Transport Infrastructure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.43) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.57 | |
COE | 51Talk Online Education | 1.16 | 8 per month | 4.37 | 0.08 | 8.91 | (9.04) | 24.60 | |
GES | Guess Inc | 1.01 | 8 per month | 3.63 | 0.05 | 8.25 | (7.31) | 35.87 | |
FSTR | LB Foster | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.95 | 0.08 | 4.35 | (3.33) | 18.32 | |
LEVI | Levi Strauss Co | (0.50) | 10 per month | 1.91 | 0.11 | 3.66 | (2.91) | 24.32 | |
TRMD | Torm PLC Class | (0.50) | 9 per month | 1.98 | 0.08 | 4.22 | (3.65) | 12.16 | |
SCVL | Shoe Carnival | 0.37 | 9 per month | 2.69 | (0.01) | 6.37 | (3.65) | 18.92 |
Kingdee International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kingdee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kingdee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kingdee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Kingdee International Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kingdee International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kingdee International Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kingdee International based on analysis of Kingdee International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kingdee International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kingdee International's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Kingdee International
The number of cover stories for Kingdee International depends on current market conditions and Kingdee International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kingdee International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kingdee International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Kingdee International Short Properties
Kingdee International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kingdee International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kingdee International Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kingdee International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingdee International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Kingdee Pink Sheet analysis
When running Kingdee International's price analysis, check to measure Kingdee International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingdee International is operating at the current time. Most of Kingdee International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingdee International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingdee International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingdee International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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