Moderate Balanced Allocation Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

SBMIX Fund  USD 11.85  -0.10  -0.84%   
The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.59, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. MODERATE BALANCED moves in the same direction as the market but with less intensity, offering a degree of cushion during selloffs.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
For the recent 90-day horizon, Moderate Balanced Allocation failed to convert risk into positive risk-adjusted performance. The current category mapping is Allocation--50% to 70% Equity. Despite somewhat strong forward indicators, MODERATE BALANCED is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price disturbance may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More
  

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 1,223 in Moderate Balanced Allocation on December 20, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 38.00 from holding Moderate Balanced Allocation or given up 3.11% of portfolio value over 90 days. Moderate Balanced Allocation is currently producing negative expected returns and carries 0.5472% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 4% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than MODERATE, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This comparison focuses on expected return, realized volatility, and risk efficiency versus the market. It highlights whether the current reward profile compensates for the level of uncertainty assumed. Assuming a 90-day horizon MODERATE BALANCED is expected to generate 0.66 times more return on investment than the market. However, the fund is 1.51 times less risky than the market. It trades about -0.09 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.1 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

For MODERATE Mutual Fund, the tendency of price to converge toward a long-term average provides a useful baseline for forecasting. Nonetheless, studies have found that some funds are persistently mispriced, with the spread correcting only when market dynamics shift significantly.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
11.85 90 days 11.85
close to 99
Based on standard probability analysis, the odds of MODERATE BALANCED moving above the current price in 90 days from now are close to 99 (The chart above shows the probability distribution of MODERATE Mutual Fund prices over the next 90 days).
Assuming a 90-day horizon MODERATE BALANCED has a beta of 0.59. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, MODERATE BALANCED's average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during a bear market, the loss from holding Moderate Balanced Allocation is expected to be smaller as well. Additionally, Moderate Balanced Allocation has an alpha of 0.0026, implying that it can generate a 0.0026 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   MODERATE BALANCED Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MODERATE BALANCED

Accurately predicting the fund market is one of the most challenging tasks in investing. For Moderate Balanced, a range of forecasting tools can be applied, though none offer certainty. Despite this, systematic forecasting is a critical step in the investment process - comparing methods and results provides context to develop a more nuanced view of potential outcomes.
The mean reversion principle applied to MODERATE BALANCED's suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Investors exploit this by positioning against extremes in price relative to fundamental value.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3011.8512.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3711.9212.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1611.7112.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7812.1512.53
Details
Peer comparison enriches MODERATE BALANCED analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors on key metrics. This relative perspective often changes investment conclusions drawn from standalone fundamental analysis.

Primary Risk Indicators

The past 10-20 years have brought considerable volatility to the mutual fund market, and MODERATE BALANCED has been no exception. Sharp price drops and strong rallies have made hedging an important tool for managing portfolio risk. Investors in Moderate Balanced Allocation should monitor MODERATE BALANCED's fundamental risk indicators to stay ahead of market swings.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0026
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.59
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Investor Alerts and Insights

Alerts and suggestions for MODERATE BALANCED give investors a structured way to monitor the fund for material events. Moderate Balanced notifications flag important changes in technical indicators, fundamentals, and market conditions that may warrant attention.
Moderate Balanced generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 16.07% of its assets in cash

MODERATE BALANCED Fundamentals Growth

MODERATE Mutual Fund performance is fundamentally tied to MODERATE BALANCED's financial health and growth outlook. Revenue and earnings trends, operating margins, and capital structure decisions all play a significant role in shaping investor expectations for MODERATE Mutual Fund.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

MODERATE BALANCED performance is typically evaluated through NAV-based returns relative to category peers and stated objectives. Certain defensive traits may reduce sensitivity to broader macroeconomic fluctuations.

Inputs for Moderate Balanced Allocation come from fund disclosures and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent schema for analysis. Some fields can appear with publication lag. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 14th, 2026