Open Text Corp Stock Performance

OTEX Stock  CAD 35.58  1.52  4.10%   
The company holds a Beta of 0.41, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Open Text's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Open Text is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Open Text Corp has a negative expected return of -0.64%. Please make sure to check Open Text's standard deviation, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if Open Text Corp performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Open Text Corp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of abnormal performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.042
Payout Ratio
0.4845
Last Split Factor
2:1
Forward Dividend Rate
1.49
Dividend Date
2025-12-19
1
Open Text Anticipates Q1 Earnings with Positive Revisions - GuruFocus
11/04/2025
2
Open Text Sees Analyst Maintain Rating, Raises Price Targ - GuruFocus
11/07/2025
3
All You Need to Know About Open Text Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy - Nasdaq
11/13/2025
4
Why ETFs are accumulating Open Text Corporation stock - Weekly Market Outlook Daily Price Action Insights - newser.com
11/19/2025
5
Open Text Corp. Stock Falls Tuesday, Underperforms Market -
12/03/2025
6
First Week of August 2026 Options Trading For Open Text - Nasdaq
12/24/2025
7
Why OpenText just sold an on-premise software business for 163M - Stock Titan
01/12/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow1.3 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-153.5 M
  

Open Text Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  5,320  in Open Text Corp on November 1, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,762) from holding Open Text Corp or give up 33.12% of portfolio value over 90 days. Open Text Corp is generating negative expected returns and assumes 1.6688% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 14% of stocks are less volatile than Open, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Open Text is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.22 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.39 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Open Text Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Open Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 35.58 90 days 35.58 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Open Text to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Open Text Corp probability density function shows the probability of Open Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Open Text has a beta of 0.41. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Open Text average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Open Text Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Open Text Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Open Text Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Open Text

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Open Text Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.2435.9137.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.6431.3139.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.971.031.06
Details

Open Text Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Open Text is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Open Text's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Open Text Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Open Text within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.67
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
3.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Open Text Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Open Text for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Open Text Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Open Text Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why OpenText just sold an on-premise software business for 163M - Stock Titan

Open Text Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Open Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Open Text's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Open Text's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding263.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Open Text Fundamentals Growth

Open Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Open Text, and Open Text fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Open Stock performance.

About Open Text Performance

By examining Open Text's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Open Text's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Open Text is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 1.73  1.54 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.09  0.06 
Return On Capital Employed 0.09  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.03  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.10  0.11 

Things to note about Open Text Corp performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Open Text for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Open Text Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Open Text Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 83.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from news.google.com: Why OpenText just sold an on-premise software business for 163M - Stock Titan
Evaluating Open Text's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Open Text's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Open Text's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Open Text's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Open Text's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Open Text's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Open Text's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Open Text's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Open Text's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Open Text's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Open Text's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Open Text Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Open Text's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Open Text Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Open Text Corp Stock:
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Open Text Corp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
It's important to distinguish between Open Text's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Open Text should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Open Text's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.