Mitek Systems Stock Performance

MITK Stock  USD 10.02  0.03  0.30%   
Mitek Systems has a performance score of 6 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.57, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Mitek Systems' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mitek Systems is expected to be smaller as well. Mitek Systems right now secures a risk of 2.23%. Please verify Mitek Systems potential upside, as well as the relationship between the kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Mitek Systems will be following its current price movements.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Mild

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Mitek Systems are ranked lower than 6 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unfluctuating basic indicators, Mitek Systems may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(0.30)
Five Day Return
(5.92)
Year To Date Return
0.5
Ten Year Return
128.25
All Time Return
472.57
1
Vasion Welcomes Cindy White Cybersecurity Expert and Former Microsoft Marketing Leader as Chief Marketing Officer
11/12/2025
2
Disposition of 15636 shares by Jason Gray of Mitek Systems subject to Rule 16b-3
12/08/2025
3
Photronics Tops Q4 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
12/10/2025
4
Are Investors Undervaluing Mitek Systems Right Now
12/16/2025
5
Mitek Systems s Technical Outlook is Bright After Key Golden Cross
12/26/2025
6
Disposition of 12958 shares by David Lyle of Mitek Systems subject to Rule 16b-3
01/02/2026
7
Mitek Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
01/07/2026
8
Should Value Investors Buy Mitek Systems Stock
01/08/2026
9
Mitek to Report Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Financial Results on February 5, 2026
01/20/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow93.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities5.8 M

Mitek Systems Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  914.00  in Mitek Systems on November 3, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  88.00  from holding Mitek Systems or generate 9.63% return on investment over 90 days. Mitek Systems is currently generating 0.1727% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.2333% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 20% of stocks are less volatile than Mitek, and 97% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mitek Systems is expected to generate 3.01 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.01 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.07 per unit of risk.

Mitek Systems Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Mitek Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 10.02 90 days 10.02 
about 33.26
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mitek Systems to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 33.26 (This Mitek Systems probability density function shows the probability of Mitek Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Mitek Systems has a beta of 0.57. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Mitek Systems average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Mitek Systems will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Mitek Systems has an alpha of 0.0616, implying that it can generate a 0.0616 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mitek Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mitek Systems

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mitek Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitek Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.7810.0112.24
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.619.8412.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.2710.5012.73
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.5113.7515.26
Details

Mitek Systems Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mitek Systems is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mitek Systems' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mitek Systems, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mitek Systems within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Mitek Systems Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mitek Systems for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mitek Systems can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Value Investors Buy Mitek Systems Stock

Mitek Systems Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mitek Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mitek Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitek Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments193 M

Mitek Systems Fundamentals Growth

Mitek Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Mitek Systems, and Mitek Systems fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Mitek Stock performance.

About Mitek Systems Performance

By examining Mitek Systems' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Mitek Systems' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Mitek Systems is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 41.96  48.71 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.03  0.03 
Return On Capital Employed 0.08  0.09 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.04  0.04 

Things to note about Mitek Systems performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mitek Systems for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Mitek Systems help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Should Value Investors Buy Mitek Systems Stock
Evaluating Mitek Systems' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Mitek Systems' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Mitek Systems' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Mitek Systems' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Mitek Systems' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Mitek Systems' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Mitek Systems' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Mitek Systems' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Mitek Systems' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Mitek Systems' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Mitek Systems' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Mitek Systems is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Mitek Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Mitek Systems Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Mitek Systems Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Mitek Systems. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.
For more information on how to buy Mitek Stock please use our How to buy in Mitek Stock guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mitek Systems. Expected growth trajectory for Mitek significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Mitek Systems assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
0.19
Revenue Per Share
3.931
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.036
Return On Assets
0.0253
The market value of Mitek Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mitek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mitek Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mitek Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mitek Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mitek Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Mitek Systems' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Mitek Systems represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, Mitek Systems' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.