First Trust Senior Etf Performance
| FCT Etf | USD 9.65 -0.07 -0.72% |
The etf has a market beta of 0.11, which conveys very low measured sensitivity to broad market movements. With a sub-1 beta, First Trust typically participates in market rallies at a reduced pace while often limiting downside exposure.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, First Trust Senior generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. This reading is usually reviewed beside volatility, downside risk, and benchmark-relative behavior before conviction is increased. In spite of comparatively stable fundamental indicators, First Trust is not utilizing all of its potential. The current price uproar may contribute to short-horizon losses for private investors. Learn More
1 | Short Interest in First Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II Declines By 19.3 | 01/20/2026 |
2 | First Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II Plans 0.10 Monthly Dividend | 01/21/2026 |
3 | Form N-CSRS FIRST TRUST SENIOR FLOAT For Nov 30 - Street Insider | 02/09/2026 |
4 | CIBC Asset Management Inc. announces launch of Canadian and U.S. ETFs with Avantis Investors by American Century Investments - Yahoo Finance Singapore | 02/20/2026 |
5 | Disposition of tradable shares by First Trust Advisors Lp of First Trust subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/09/2026 |
6 | Disposition of tradable shares by Friske Scott Michael of First Trust subject to Rule 16 b-3 | 03/17/2026 |
7 | First Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II declares 0.097 dividend | 03/20/2026 |
Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you had invested $ 976.00 in First Trust Senior on December 22, 2025 and sold it today you would have lost $ 11.00 from holding First Trust Senior or given up 1.13% of portfolio value over 90 days. First Trust Senior is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 0.3802% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 3% of etfs are less volatile than First, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Historical Prices of First Trust Senior
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for First Trust Senior extending back to May 26, 2004. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of First Trust stands at 9.65, as last reported on the 22nd of March, with the highest price reaching 9.73 and the lowest price hitting 9.64 during the day.Macro event markers
Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
A fundamental principle of ETF forecasting is that prices tend to revert toward historical averages. For First Etf, this mean-reverting tendency has been a useful tool for valuation. Still, some ETFs exhibit persistent mispricings that are only corrected when buying and selling pressure realign.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds moving above the current price in 90 days |
| 9.65 | 90 days | 9.65 | about 99.0 |
According to our probability model, the chance of First Trust moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This probability chart for First Trust Senior depicts the range of likely prices for First Etf over a 90-day horizon).
First Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Trust
Predicting the direction of First Trust Senior and the broader ETF market involves a range of quantitative and qualitative techniques. Although accurate forecasting remains elusive, the process of modeling future scenarios is a valuable part of investment decision-making. Comparing results from different methods frames the confidence level of their predictions.The concept of mean reversion suggests that First Trust's price will eventually return toward its long-run average. High prices may deter value investors, while unusually low prices often attract buyers who anticipate a recovery.
Primary Risk Indicators
Market volatility over the last 10-20 years has created both risk and opportunity for etf investors. First Trust has seen its share of dramatic price swings during this period. Implementing a hedging strategy and tracking First Trust's volatility and elasticity can help investors in First Trust Senior limit the impact of adverse market moves.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.009 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.21 |
Investor Alerts and Insights
Real-time alerts for First Trust allow investors to track important ETF developments as they happen. Reviewing ongoing notifications for First Trust Senior helps identify opportunities and risks before they are fully priced into the market.| First Trust Senior generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| First Trust Senior has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| First Trust Senior has $116 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.39, which is consistent with its industry peers. First Trust Senior has a current ratio of 0.11, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist First Trust until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Trust's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Trust Senior sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Trust's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The ETF reported last year's revenue of 20.08 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was -11.08 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 20.08 M. | |
| Over 80.0% of the ETF shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: First Trust Senior Floating Rate Income Fund II declares 0.097 dividend |
First Trust Fundamentals Growth
Investors assess First Etf by examining First Trust's underlying financial health. Revenue trajectory, earnings quality, profit margins, and leverage levels are among the most closely watched fundamentals that shape First Etf market performance.
| Return On Equity | -3.56 | |||
| Return On Asset | 2.2 | |||
| Profit Margin | -55.20 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 80.30 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 367.12 M | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 25.96 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 82.76 X | |||
| Price To Book | 0.80 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 13.16 X | |||
| Revenue | 20.08 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 918.37 K | |||
| Cash Per Share | 0.04 X | |||
| Total Debt | 116 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.39 % | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 12.71 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.04 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 0.12 X | |||
| Total Asset | 438.01 M | |||
| Retained Earnings | -182.61 M | |||
Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology
First Trust performance is typically evaluated relative to its benchmark and tracking difference over time. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers.
For First Trust Senior, this section uses fund disclosures and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Intraday timing differences may exist. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.