Cisco Systems Stock Performance

CSCO Stock  USD 77.67  0.00  0.00%   
The firm has a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.96, which indicates generally lower market sensitivity than the broad market. With a beta near 1, Cisco Systems is expected to mirror market movements with minimal deviation in either direction. Cisco Systems today has a risk of 2.14%.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
 
Weak
 
Strong
During the last 90 trading days, Cisco Systems produced negative risk-adjusted performance, which signals weak return efficiency for investors with long positions. Current market capitalization is about 306.8 Billion. In spite of very healthy fundamental indicators, Cisco Systems is not utilizing all of its potential. The newest price disarray may contribute to short-term losses for investors. Learn More

Actual Historical Performance (%)

 One Day Return
-1.10
 Five Day Return
-2.62
 Year To Date Return
2.12
 Ten Year Return
179.02
 All Time Return
100.4 K
 Forward Dividend Yield
0.0216
 Payout Ratio
0.4135
 Last Split Factor
2:1
 Forward Dividend Rate
1.68
 Dividend Date
2026-04-22
Begin Period Cash FlowB
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities1.7 B

Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you had invested $ 7,760 in Cisco Systems on December 23, 2025 and sold it today you would have earned a total of $ 6.50 from holding Cisco Systems or generated 0.08% return on investment over 90 days. Cisco Systems is currently generating a 0.0249% daily expected return and carries 2.1378% risk (volatility on return distribution) over a 90-day horizon. In different words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Cisco, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
This relative risk-return summary reviews how the instrument behaves against its benchmark. It works best as a comparative read on return quality, drawdown exposure, and volatility burden. Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cisco Systems is expected to generate 2.59 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.59 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.01 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly -0.12 per unit of risk.

Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The concept of mean reversion, where Cisco Stock price gravitates toward equilibrium, is fundamental to market analysis. This pattern is a cornerstone of many forecasting models, though periods of persistent mispricing occur. Investors demand compensation for the additional risk inherent in stocks that remain mispriced longer. The concept of price convergence is essential context for any investor forecasting Cisco Stock price direction.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds moving above the current price in 90 days
77.67 90 days 77.67
about 53.58
Statistical modeling indicates that the probability of Cisco Systems moving above the current price in 90 days from now is about 53.58 . The model uses historical price data to estimate the range of likely outcomes for this stock. The estimate assumes relatively stable market conditions and may not account for tail risk events. The statistical approach provides context that complements fundamental and technical analysis. (This stock probability density function maps the likelihood of Cisco Stock reaching different price levels over 90 days). Taller, narrower curves suggest lower volatility and more concentrated price expectations for Cisco Stock. Review this distribution alongside Cisco Stock's implied volatility for additional context. Review this distribution before making position sizing or risk management decisions around Cisco Stock.
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cisco Systems has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Cisco Systems market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Cisco Systems is expected to follow. Additionally, Cisco Systems has an alpha of 0.1043, implying that it can generate a 0.1043 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherent market risk (beta).
   Cisco Systems Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cisco Systems

Accurately predicting the stock market is one of the most challenging tasks for investors analyzing Cisco Systems. No single approach dominates, but the practice of forecasting remains an essential element of the investment process. Investors benefit from applying a variety of techniques rather than relying on a single model for Cisco Systems. The practice of comparing forecasts for Cisco Systems builds analytical resilience regardless of which model proves most accurate.
Experienced investors tracking Cisco Systems' watch for mean reversion setups where price has deviated from its long-run average. Sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks are common catalysts for these temporary dislocations in Cisco Systems. Prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions, creating mean reversion opportunities in Cisco Systems. The mean reversion signal is most useful when combined with fundamental confirmation for Cisco Systems'.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
75.5177.6579.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
76.7278.8681.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
77.2579.3981.53
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
80.8288.8198.58
Details
Peer comparison enriches Cisco Systems analysis by revealing how the company ranks against competitors. Cisco Systems's multiples must be compared to direct competitors to determine genuine value. Superior peer-relative performance is one of the strongest justifications for Cisco Systems' valuation premium. Cross-company comparison is essential to validate or challenge any investment thesis on Cisco Systems.

Primary Risk Indicators

Volatility has been a defining feature of the stock market in recent decades, and Cisco Systems has reflected that pattern. Sudden corrections and sharp rallies have tested many portfolios that include Cisco Systems. A risk management approach built around Cisco Systems' volatility metrics can help investors manage downside exposure. Tracking Cisco Systems' risk indicators over time reveals how the risk profile evolves across market cycles.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
2.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Investor Alerts and Insights

For investors following Cisco Systems, automated alerts provide early signals of meaningful shifts in stock dynamics. Cisco Systems notifications highlight material changes that could affect portfolio decisions and overall risk exposure. Investors can customize Cisco Systems alert parameters to match their risk tolerance and investment horizon. Pairing alerts with independent analysis strengthens conviction in Cisco Systems investment decisions.
Over 82.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from simplywall.st: The Bull Case For Cisco Systems Could Change Following Deeper NVIDIA AI Networking Tie-Up - Learn Why

Price Density Drivers

For Cisco Systems, price shifts are largely a function of buyer and seller positioning dynamics and broader market conditions. Key market indicators for Cisco Stock are presented below to contextualize recent price movements. Tracking Cisco Systems' market indicators provides context for distinguishing fundamental shifts from short-term noise. This data helps frame whether current Cisco Systems' price movements warrant further investigation.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments16.1 B

Cisco Systems Fundamentals Growth

The pricing of Cisco Stock is heavily influenced by Cisco Systems' fundamental performance over time. Investors monitor revenue growth, profit margins, cash flow generation, and debt management as key indicators. The performance of Cisco Stock is closely linked to Cisco Systems' underlying financial metrics and growth rates. Profitability trends, cash flow generation, and capital structure remain the key fundamentals for Cisco Stock.

Performance Metrics & Calculation Methodology

Cisco Systems performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Relative performance helps interpret behavior versus benchmarks or category peers. Cisco Systems shows ROE of 23.75%, ROA of 6.99%.

For Cisco Systems, this section uses periodic company reporting and market reference feeds with Macroaxis normalization rules applied to keep cross-asset comparisons consistent. Analyst inputs may be included when coverage is available. Intraday timing differences may exist. Return and risk statistics are calculated from historical price series.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Gabriel Shpitalnik - Member of Macroaxis Editorial Board
Last reviewed on March 1st, 2026