H2o America Stock Price Prediction
| HTO Stock | 49.66 0.13 0.26% |
Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.361 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.9733 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.14 | Wall Street Target Price 61 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
Using H2O America hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of H2O America from the perspective of H2O America response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards H2O America using H2O America's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards H2O using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of H2O America's stock price.
H2O America Short Interest
An investor who is long H2O America may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about H2O America and may potentially protect profits, hedge H2O America with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 53.1102 | Short Percent 0.0217 | Short Ratio 2.33 | Shares Short Prior Month 584.5 K | 50 Day MA 52.245 |
H2O America Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to H2O America's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in H2O. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding H2O can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around H2O America. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of H2O America's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about H2O America.
H2O America Implied Volatility | 0.43 |
H2O America's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of H2O America stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if H2O America's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that H2O America stock will not fluctuate a lot when H2O America's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in H2O America to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying H2O because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
H2O America after-hype prediction price | USD 49.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current H2O contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that H2O America will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0269% per day over the life of the 2025-12-19 option contract. With H2O America trading at USD 49.66, that is roughly USD 0.0133 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating H2O America's daily price movement you should consider acquiring H2O America options at the current volatility level of 0.43%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out H2O America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of H2O America's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
H2O America After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of H2O America at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in H2O America or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of H2O America, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
H2O America Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting H2O America's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on H2O America's historical news coverage. H2O America's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.30 and 50.98, respectively. We have considered H2O America's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
H2O America is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of H2O America is based on 3 months time horizon.
H2O America Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as H2O America is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading H2O America backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with H2O America, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.34 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.66 | 49.64 | 0.04 |
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H2O America Hype Timeline
On the 13th of September 2025 H2O America is traded for 49.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. H2O is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 49.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.04%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on H2O America is about 957.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.65. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. H2O America has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of May 2025. The firm had 2:1 split on the 17th of March 2006. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out H2O America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.H2O America Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to H2O America's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict H2O America's future price movements. Getting to know how H2O America's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how H2O America may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | (0.39) | 10 per month | 0.74 | 0.01 | 1.47 | (1.19) | 3.65 | |
| NWE | NorthWestern | (0.47) | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.03 | 2.07 | (1.56) | 8.87 | |
| GOOS | Canada Goose Holdings | (1.13) | 9 per month | 3.10 | 0.08 | 5.35 | (4.46) | 22.98 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | 1.15 | 7 per month | 2.62 | 0.02 | 6.00 | (3.82) | 12.66 | |
| CPRI | Capri Holdings | 0.15 | 7 per month | 2.82 | 0.05 | 5.24 | (5.15) | 19.66 | |
| CMS-PC | CMS Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.21 | 1.14 | (0.66) | 3.15 | |
| OGS | One Gas | (0.15) | 10 per month | 0.98 | (0.06) | 1.64 | (1.81) | 4.53 | |
| BKH | Black Hills | (0.28) | 10 per month | 0.92 | (0.03) | 1.37 | (1.41) | 4.27 |
H2O America Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine H2O price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for H2O using various technical indicators. When you analyze H2O charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About H2O America Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of H2O America stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as H2O America, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of H2O America based on analysis of H2O America hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to H2O America's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to H2O America's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0177 | 0.0231 | 0.0315 | 0.0304 | Price To Sales Ratio | 3.96 | 3.09 | 2.21 | 1.78 |
Story Coverage note for H2O America
The number of cover stories for H2O America depends on current market conditions and H2O America's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that H2O America is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about H2O America's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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H2O America Short Properties
H2O America's future price predictability will typically decrease when H2O America's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of H2O America often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential H2O America's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. H2O America's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.1 M |
Check out H2O America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in H2O Stock, please use our How to Invest in H2O America guide.You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of H2O America. If investors know H2O will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about H2O America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.361 | Dividend Share 1.62 | Earnings Share 3 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.122 |
The market value of H2O America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of H2O that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of H2O America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is H2O America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because H2O America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect H2O America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between H2O America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if H2O America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, H2O America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.