Correlation Between Precious Metals and Third Avenue

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Precious Metals and Third Avenue at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Precious Metals and Third Avenue into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Precious Metals Ultrasector and Third Avenue Small Cap, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Precious Metals and Third Avenue and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Precious Metals with a short position of Third Avenue. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Precious Metals and Third Avenue.

Diversification Opportunities for Precious Metals and Third Avenue

0.46
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Precious and Third is 0.46. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Precious Metals Ultrasector and Third Avenue Small Cap in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Third Avenue Small and Precious Metals is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Precious Metals Ultrasector are associated (or correlated) with Third Avenue. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Third Avenue Small has no effect on the direction of Precious Metals i.e., Precious Metals and Third Avenue go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Precious Metals and Third Avenue

Assuming the 90 days horizon Precious Metals Ultrasector is expected to generate 2.92 times more return on investment than Third Avenue. However, Precious Metals is 2.92 times more volatile than Third Avenue Small Cap. It trades about 0.23 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Third Avenue Small Cap is currently generating about 0.21 per unit of risk. If you would invest  6,925  in Precious Metals Ultrasector on June 8, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,082  from holding Precious Metals Ultrasector or generate 44.51% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Precious Metals Ultrasector  vs.  Third Avenue Small Cap

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Precious Metals Ultr 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Precious Metals Ultrasector are ranked lower than 18 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak basic indicators, Precious Metals showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
Third Avenue Small 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Solid

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Third Avenue Small Cap are ranked lower than 16 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly weak fundamental indicators, Third Avenue may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in October 2025.

Precious Metals and Third Avenue Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Precious Metals and Third Avenue

The main advantage of trading using opposite Precious Metals and Third Avenue positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Precious Metals position performs unexpectedly, Third Avenue can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Third Avenue will offset losses from the drop in Third Avenue's long position.
The idea behind Precious Metals Ultrasector and Third Avenue Small Cap pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

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