Valvoline Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VVV Stock | USD 31.51 1.27 4.20% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Valvoline is 'Strong Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Valvoline given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Valvoline, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Valvoline Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Valvoline Stock please use our How to Invest in Valvoline guide. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Valvoline and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Valvoline. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in small area income & poverty estimates.
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Execute Valvoline Buy or Sell Advice
The Valvoline recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Valvoline. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Valvoline or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Valvoline's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost mirrors the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Interested | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Valvoline Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Valvoline generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 100.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
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Valvoline Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Valvoline's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Valvoline's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Valvoline daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Valvoline price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Valvoline returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Valvoline.
| Mean Return | -0.14 | Value At Risk | -2.97 | Potential Upside | 3.38 | Standard Deviation | 1.97 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Valvoline historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Valvoline Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Valvoline, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Valvoline back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2025-06-30 | 2.9 M | Amvescap Plc. | 2025-06-30 | 2.9 M | Cooke & Bieler Lp | 2025-06-30 | 2.9 M | Mawer Investment Management Ltd | 2025-06-30 | 2.7 M | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2025-06-30 | 2.5 M | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2.3 M | Channing Capital Management, Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2.2 M | Tensile Capital Management Llc | 2025-06-30 | 2 M | Geneva Capital Management | 2025-06-30 | 1.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-06-30 | 12.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2025-06-30 | 12.3 M |
Valvoline Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | (53M) | (5.4M) | (3.3M) | (7.7M) | (4.9M) | (5.1M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 152.2M | (221.3M) | 40.7M | 38M | 34.2M | 32.5M | |
| Depreciation | 71.4M | 88.8M | 105.9M | 119.4M | 137.3M | 71.9M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 197.9M | (423.5M) | (57M) | (46.7M) | (42.0M) | (44.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 132M | 180.5M | 224.4M | 259.2M | 298.1M | 313.0M | |
| Net Income | 109.4M | 199.4M | 214.5M | 210.7M | 189.6M | 186.9M | |
| Change In Cash | (147.5M) | 329.2M | (344.4M) | (17.1M) | (15.4M) | (14.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (15.1M) | 3.1M | (510.8M) | (31M) | (27.9M) | (26.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 66M | 25M | (84.6M) | (1.6B) | (1.4B) | (1.4B) | |
| Investments | (207.6M) | 2.0B | 136.8M | (201.1M) | (231.3M) | (219.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 83.9M | 413.1M | 68.7M | 51.6M | 46.4M | 44.1M |
Valvoline Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Valvoline or Chemicals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Valvoline's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Valvoline stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.87 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Valvoline Volatility Alert
Valvoline exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.56 and kurtosis of 0.83. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Valvoline's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Valvoline's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Valvoline Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Valvoline's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Valvoline's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Valvoline and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Valvoline or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Valvoline's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Valvoline by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Valvoline to competition |
| Fundamentals | Valvoline | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.82 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0715 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.26 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 5.19 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 127.24 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.29 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 99.71 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 12.23 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 18.10 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 11.37 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.25 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.71 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 658.5 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 485.7 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 210.7 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 51.6 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.55 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.67 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 8.80 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.64 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 297.2 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.05 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 1.67 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.10 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 39.07 | |
| Number Of Employees | 10.6 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.19 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.85 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 2.67 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 273.6 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | (103.7 M) | 1.48 B |
Note: Acquisition by Lori Flees of tradable shares of Valvoline subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Valvoline Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Valvoline . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
Valvoline Target Price Consensus
Valvoline target price is determined by taking all analyst projections and averaging them out. There is no one specific way to measure analysts' performance other than comparing it to past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Valvoline's target price projections below should be used in combination with other traditional price prediction techniques such as stock price forecasting, investor sentiment analysis, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
| 14 | Buy |
Most Valvoline analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to help potential investors understand Valvoline stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching the public financial statements of Valvoline, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to those companies' conference calls.
Macroaxis Advice Exposure ValuationValvoline Target Price Projection
Valvoline's current and average target prices are 31.51 and 39.07, respectively. The current price of Valvoline is the price at which Valvoline is currently trading. On the other hand, Valvoline's target price is what analysts think the stock is worth or could sell for in the future. The more significant the discrepancy between the two prices, the more it stimulates investors to act.Current Price
Valvoline Market Quote on 9th of January 2026
Target Price
Analyst Consensus On Valvoline Target Price
Valvoline Analyst Ratings
Valvoline's analyst stock recommendations are determined by taking an average estimate of all analysts we track and classifying them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell, or Sell. Ratings generally communicate what analysts sense about Valvoline stock, and they use a lot of effort and time to analyze it and arrive at a rating. That suggests that analyst recommendations are the outcome of an objective and thorough examination of Valvoline's financials, market performance, and future outlook by experienced professionals. Valvoline's historical ratings below, therefore, can serve as a valuable tool for investors.Analyst Consensus Breakdown
Average Consensus Estimates
About Valvoline Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Valvoline? Buying financial instruments such as Valvoline Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Valvoline in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Large Value Funds Thematic Idea Now
Large Value Funds
Funds or Etfs that invest in the undervalued stocks of large-sized companies. The Large Value Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Value Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Valvoline Stock Analysis
When running Valvoline's price analysis, check to measure Valvoline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Valvoline is operating at the current time. Most of Valvoline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Valvoline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Valvoline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Valvoline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.