Invesco Advantage Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| VKI Stock | USD 8.89 0.04 0.45% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Invesco Advantage MIT on the next trading day is expected to be 8.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.27. Invesco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Invesco Advantage's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Invesco Advantage's share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Invesco Advantage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Invesco Advantage MIT from the perspective of Invesco Advantage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Invesco Advantage MIT on the next trading day is expected to be 8.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.27. Invesco Advantage after-hype prediction price | USD 8.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Advantage to cross-verify your projections. Invesco Advantage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Invesco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Invesco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Invesco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Invesco Advantage Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Invesco Advantage MIT on the next trading day is expected to be 8.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.27.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Invesco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Invesco Advantage's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Invesco Advantage Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Invesco Advantage | Invesco Advantage Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Invesco Advantage Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Invesco Advantage's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Invesco Advantage's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.33 and 9.44, respectively. We have considered Invesco Advantage's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Invesco Advantage stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Invesco Advantage stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.2584 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0026 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0378 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0043 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.265 |
Predictive Modules for Invesco Advantage
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Advantage MIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Invesco Advantage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Invesco Advantage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Invesco Advantage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Invesco Advantage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Invesco Advantage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Invesco Advantage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Invesco Advantage's historical news coverage. Invesco Advantage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.37 and 9.49, respectively. We have considered Invesco Advantage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Invesco Advantage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Invesco Advantage MIT is based on 3 months time horizon.
Invesco Advantage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Invesco Advantage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Invesco Advantage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Invesco Advantage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.89 | 8.93 | 0.00 |
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Invesco Advantage Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Invesco Advantage MIT is traded for 8.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Invesco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Invesco Advantage is about 6000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.89. About 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Invesco Advantage MIT recorded a loss per share of 0.51. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Advantage to cross-verify your projections.Invesco Advantage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Invesco Advantage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Invesco Advantage's future price movements. Getting to know how Invesco Advantage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Invesco Advantage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Other Forecasting Options for Invesco Advantage
For every potential investor in Invesco, whether a beginner or expert, Invesco Advantage's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Invesco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Invesco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Invesco Advantage's price trends.View Invesco Advantage Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Invesco Advantage Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Invesco Advantage stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Invesco Advantage shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Invesco Advantage stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Invesco Advantage MIT entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.89 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Invesco Advantage Risk Indicators
The analysis of Invesco Advantage's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Invesco Advantage's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting invesco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4217 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4529 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5533 | |||
| Variance | 0.3061 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3764 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.2051 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Invesco Advantage
The number of cover stories for Invesco Advantage depends on current market conditions and Invesco Advantage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Invesco Advantage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Invesco Advantage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Invesco Advantage Short Properties
Invesco Advantage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Invesco Advantage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Invesco Advantage MIT often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Invesco Advantage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Invesco Advantage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 336.3 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Invesco Advantage to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Invesco Advantage. If investors know Invesco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Invesco Advantage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.668 | Earnings Share (0.51) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Invesco Advantage MIT is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Invesco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Invesco Advantage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Invesco Advantage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Invesco Advantage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Invesco Advantage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Invesco Advantage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Invesco Advantage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Invesco Advantage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.