Mfs Municipal Income Stock Price Patterns
| MFM Stock | USD 5.54 0.04 0.73% |
Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using MFS Municipal hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MFS Municipal Income from the perspective of MFS Municipal response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MFS Municipal to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MFS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
MFS Municipal after-hype prediction price | USD 5.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out MFS Municipal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. MFS Municipal After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of MFS Municipal at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MFS Municipal or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of MFS Municipal, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
MFS Municipal Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting MFS Municipal's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MFS Municipal's historical news coverage. MFS Municipal's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.90 and 6.18, respectively. We have considered MFS Municipal's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
MFS Municipal is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Municipal Income is based on 3 months time horizon.
MFS Municipal Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as MFS Municipal is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MFS Municipal backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MFS Municipal, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 0.64 | 0.27 | 0.73 | 5 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.54 | 5.54 | 0.00 |
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MFS Municipal Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January MFS Municipal Income is traded for 5.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.27, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.73. MFS is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 16.37%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on MFS Municipal is about 6.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.27. About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.91. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. MFS Municipal Income last dividend was issued on the 20th of January 2026. The entity had 1:2 split on the 22nd of January 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out MFS Municipal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.MFS Municipal Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to MFS Municipal's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MFS Municipal's future price movements. Getting to know how MFS Municipal's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MFS Municipal may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ETX | Eaton Vance Municipal | (9.75) | 1 per month | 0.73 | (0.08) | 0.96 | (1.29) | 4.13 | |
| HEIFX | Hennessy Equity And | 8.51 | 5 per month | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.86 | (0.67) | 14.21 | |
| PMM | Putnam Managed Municipal | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.02) | 1.14 | (0.97) | 3.57 | |
| MCR | MFS Charter Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.33 | (0.12) | 0.64 | (0.48) | 1.76 | |
| SDVSX | Sit Dividend Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.40 | 0.12 | 1.01 | (1.06) | 11.34 | |
| SILVX | Summit Global Investments | 4.23 | 2 per month | 0.31 | 0.13 | 1.15 | (0.79) | 2.82 | |
| SDVGX | Sit Dividend Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | 0.12 | 1.01 | (1.12) | 11.18 | |
| SGAPX | American Beacon Sga | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.64 | 0.07 | 1.19 | (1.54) | 17.76 | |
| MQT | Blackrock Muniyield Quality | (0.62) | 2 per month | 0.40 | (0.06) | 0.92 | (0.59) | 2.49 | |
| VPV | Invesco Pennsylvania Value | 101.70 | 7 per month | 0.35 | (0.06) | 0.77 | (0.65) | 2.10 |
MFS Municipal Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine MFS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MFS using various technical indicators. When you analyze MFS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About MFS Municipal Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of MFS Municipal stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MFS Municipal Income, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MFS Municipal based on analysis of MFS Municipal hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MFS Municipal's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MFS Municipal's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out MFS Municipal Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could MFS diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of MFS Municipal. Expected growth trajectory for MFS significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every MFS Municipal data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate MFS Municipal Income using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating MFS Municipal's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause MFS Municipal's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that MFS Municipal's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether MFS Municipal represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, MFS Municipal's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.