Vista Gold Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| VGZ Stock | USD 1.82 -0.02 -1.09% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for Vista Gold, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vista Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Vista Gold price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Vista Gold. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future Vista Gold's Simple Moving Average reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 21st of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Vista Gold on the next trading day is expected to be 1.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.49 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Vista Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Vista Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Vista Gold focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.02 and upside near 8.74.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Vista Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Vista Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.1853 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0096 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1438 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0596 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.485 |
Other Forecasting Options for Vista Gold
The price movement of Vista is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Vista Stock price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Vista Gold Related Equities
The following equities are related to Vista Gold within the Materials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Vista Gold against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Vista Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Vista Gold stock help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Vista Gold.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.02 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 39.44 |
Vista Gold Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Vista Gold is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Vista Gold's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 4.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.8 | |||
| Variance | 46.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Vista Gold
Story coverage around Vista Gold often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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Vista Gold Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Vista Gold can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 125.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.6 M |