TFI International Stock Forward View - 4 Period Moving Average
| TFII Stock | CAD 135.82 0.30 0.22% |
TFI International's 4 Period Moving Average reference data reflects the model's output when applied to available daily price observations. This page summarizes the model output and key accuracy metrics for reference. The projected value and error metrics are calculated from available daily price observations. This information is intended as reference material for analytical purposes.
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TFI International on the next trading day is expected to be 136.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 218.20.The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of TFI International. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for TFI International and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions The 4 Period Moving Average reference values for TFI International are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of TFI International on the next trading day is expected to be 136.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.83 , mean absolute percentage error of 25.61 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 218.20 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TFI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TFI International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TFI International | TFI International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for TFI International uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. No forecasting approach has been shown to beat all others over time. Investors should treat any model output as a guide, not a guarantee.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TFI International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TFI International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.0021 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3345 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.8281 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.025 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 218.2 |
Other Forecasting Options for TFI International
Relative Strength Index values for TFI measure the speed and magnitude of recent price changes. Recognizing these clusters in TFI International's returns helps calibrate position size and stop-loss levels. Candlestick pattern analysis of TFI Stock daily data can reveal short-term reversal or continuation signals. Identifying these patterns in TFI Stock data supports better trade timing.TFI International Related Equities
These stocks are related to TFI International within the Industrials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Looking at TFI International's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount. Peer pricing works best when the firms compared share similar business models and end markets.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TFI International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators provide a structured view of how TFI International stock is positioned relative to trends. These indicators are valuable tools for identifying when to enter or exit positions in TFI International. Investors tracking TFI International can use these signals to validate or adjust their position timing. Review these indicators alongside TFI International's fundamental data for a complete analytical picture.
TFI International Risk Indicators
The analysis of TFI International's risk metrics is one of the most important steps in projecting its future price. This process quantifies the risk associated with TFI International's and helps determine how to manage it. A structured analysis of TFI International's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve forecast accuracy. Investors who carefully evaluate the risks in TFI International's are better positioned to make informed decisions.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.46 | |||
| Variance | 6.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TFI International
Story coverage around TFI International often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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TFI International Short Properties
A short-interest review of TFI International provides context for understanding whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 288.1 M |
More Resources for TFI Stock Analysis
Understanding TFI International starts with its core financial statements, trend data, and ratio analysis. The dataset reflects TFI International's available reporting history.The Historical Fundamental Analysis of TFI International module adds a historical reference layer for TFI International's projections.Discover how to invest in TFI Stock by reading our How to Buy TFI Stock guide. It offers practical guidance on account setup, order types, and timing for TFI International. Use it as a practical starting point for your TFI Stock investment research.With TFI International showing P/E 16.41 and ROE 11.61%, investors get more value when this analysis is combined with the diversification and construction tools below. Combining those profitability and valuation signals with the risk, diversification, and comparative tools below produces a more informed Industrials position-sizing decision. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.