Sulzer AG Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

SUN Stock  CHF 179.40  1.80  1.01%   
Sulzer Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sulzer AG's stock price is slightly above 64. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sulzer, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 64

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sulzer AG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sulzer AG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sulzer AG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sulzer AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Sulzer AG's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.1
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.8592
EPS Estimate Next Year
9.8348
Wall Street Target Price
173.5714
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.026
Using Sulzer AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sulzer AG from the perspective of Sulzer AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Sulzer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 183.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 161.95.

Sulzer AG after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 179.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sulzer AG to cross-verify your projections.

Sulzer AG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sulzer price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sulzer using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sulzer charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Sulzer AG price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Sulzer AG Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Sulzer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 183.39 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.65, mean absolute percentage error of 11.99, and the sum of the absolute errors of 161.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sulzer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sulzer AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sulzer AG Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sulzer AG  Sulzer AG Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Sulzer AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sulzer AG's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sulzer AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 181.56 and 185.22, respectively. We have considered Sulzer AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
179.40
181.56
Downside
183.39
Expected Value
185.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sulzer AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sulzer AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.5946
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6549
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0167
SAESum of the absolute errors161.946
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Sulzer AG historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Sulzer AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sulzer AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
177.57179.40181.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
132.72134.55197.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
148.42177.28206.14
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.102.212.40
Details

Sulzer AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sulzer AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sulzer AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sulzer AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sulzer AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sulzer AG's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sulzer AG's historical news coverage. Sulzer AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 177.57 and 181.23, respectively. We have considered Sulzer AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
179.40
177.57
Downside
179.40
After-hype Price
181.23
Upside
Sulzer AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sulzer AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sulzer AG Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sulzer AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sulzer AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sulzer AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.53 
1.83
  7.00 
  0.84 
2 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
179.40
179.40
0.00 
13.86  
Notes

Sulzer AG Hype Timeline

Sulzer AG is at this time traded for 179.40on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 7.0, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.84. Sulzer is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 13.86%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sulzer AG is about 114.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 180.24. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.98. Sulzer AG last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2025. The entity had 10:1 split on the 14th of April 2008. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sulzer AG to cross-verify your projections.

Sulzer AG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sulzer AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sulzer AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Sulzer AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sulzer AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
GFGeorg Fischer AG(0.80)5 per month 1.29 (0.05) 2.18 (1.98) 5.55 
BUCNBucher Industries AG 1.00 4 per month 1.07  0.04  1.54 (1.40) 5.34 
SFSNSFS Group AG 3.80 5 per month 0.98  0.15  2.28 (2.04) 8.06 
ADENAdecco Group AG(0.46)4 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.98 (4.23) 13.82 
DKSHDKSH Holding AG(0.10)6 per month 0.82  0.09  2.48 (1.85) 8.40 
BCHNBurckhardt Compression 6.00 4 per month 1.00  0.06  2.30 (1.99) 6.35 
KARNKardex(1.50)3 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.71 (1.80) 10.04 
INRNInterroll Holding AG 5.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.50 (3.37) 12.83 
OERLOC Oerlikon Corp(0.02)2 per month 1.40  0.17  2.96 (2.48) 8.24 
PMNPHOENIX N AG 3.00 6 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.62 (3.89) 7.50 

Other Forecasting Options for Sulzer AG

For every potential investor in Sulzer, whether a beginner or expert, Sulzer AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sulzer Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sulzer. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sulzer AG's price trends.

Sulzer AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sulzer AG stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sulzer AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sulzer AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sulzer AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sulzer AG stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sulzer AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sulzer AG stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sulzer AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sulzer AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sulzer AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sulzer AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sulzer stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sulzer AG

The number of cover stories for Sulzer AG depends on current market conditions and Sulzer AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sulzer AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sulzer AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Sulzer AG Short Properties

Sulzer AG's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sulzer AG's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sulzer AG often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sulzer AG's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sulzer AG's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Additional Tools for Sulzer Stock Analysis

When running Sulzer AG's price analysis, check to measure Sulzer AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sulzer AG is operating at the current time. Most of Sulzer AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sulzer AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sulzer AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sulzer AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.