Sulzer AG Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| SUN Stock | CHF 159.60 -0.40 -0.25% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.138 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.0544 | EPS Estimate Next Year 11.0441 | Wall Street Target Price 187.4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth -0.01 |
The hype-based summary links Sulzer AG attention patterns with price response and peers.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sulzer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 159.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.80.Sulzer AG after-hype prediction price | ₣ 158.99 |
Hype analysis provides context that aligns with forecasting models, technical indicators, and earnings views.
Sulzer |
Sulzer AG Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Sulzer AG's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Backtested accuracy does not guarantee forward performance - market structure and volatility regimes evolve.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sulzer AG on the next trading day is expected to be 159.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.34 , mean absolute percentage error of 11.29 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 142.80 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sulzer Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sulzer AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Sulzer AG | Sulzer AG Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
The next-day forecast for Sulzer AG focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sulzer AG stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sulzer AG stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5348 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1967 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.341 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0141 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 142.8 |
Mean reversion opportunities in Sulzer AG's arise when market prices disconnect from fundamental anchors such as earnings, book value, or historical price-to-earnings multiples.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Using probability distributions for Sulzer AG forecasting acknowledges that no model can consistently predict Sulzer AG's exact future price. The distribution approach quantifies model uncertainty and helps investors avoid overconfidence in any single forecast.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-hype price analysis for Sulzer AG provides a news-conditional view of potential price outcomes. Sulzer AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 156.89 and 161.09, respectively. This analysis complements technical and fundamental research by adding a news-sentiment dimension to Sulzer AG's price forecasting.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Sulzer AG assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. Used correctly, the estimate adds context around potential normalization rather than promising a specific realized outcome.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sulzer AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sulzer AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sulzer AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.10 | 0.72 | 0.75 | 2 Events | 2 Events | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
159.60 | 158.99 | 0.38 |
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Hype Timeline
Sulzer AG is at this time traded for 159.60on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.72, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.75. Sulzer is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 158.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 55.26%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Sulzer AG is about 53.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 158.85. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Sulzer AG was at this time reported as 38.33. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.0. Sulzer AG recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 8.58. The company had its last dividend issued on the 17th of April 2026. The firm completed a 10:1 stock split on 14th of April 2008. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sulzer AG provides a cross-check on projections for Sulzer AG. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype comparison table for Sulzer AG includes downside risk metrics such as value-at-risk and maximum drawdown for Sulzer AG's competitors. providing context for assessing the relative risk profile of a Sulzer AG investment.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GF | Georg Fischer AG | -0.55 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.20 | 2.18 | -3.69 | 9.52 | |
| BUCN | Bucher Industries AG | 0.50 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 1.54 | -2.75 | 5.90 | |
| SFSN | SFS Group AG | 3.80 | 4 per month | 1.37 | 0.11 | 3.83 | -2.07 | 9.26 | |
| ADEN | Adecco Group AG | 0.16 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 4.40 | -4.23 | 11.67 | |
| DKSH | DKSH Holding AG | -1.70 | 5 per month | 1.13 | 0.05 | 2.48 | -1.59 | 11.36 | |
| BCHN | Burckhardt Compression | 1.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.44 | -2.14 | 12.03 | |
| KARN | Kardex | -3.50 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.06 | 2.71 | -2.91 | 11.33 | |
| INRN | Interroll Holding AG | -40.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | -0.23 | 2.50 | -3.37 | 12.83 | |
| OERL | OC Oerlikon Corp | -0.02 | 3 per month | 1.72 | 0.13 | 3.04 | -3.12 | 21.35 | |
| PMN | PHOENIX N AG | 1.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 2.53 | -3.42 | 8.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Sulzer AG
The movement of Sulzer price is the central consideration for investors deciding whether to enter or hold a position. Noise in Sulzer Stock price charts can make it difficult to distinguish meaningful trends from random fluctuations.Sulzer AG Related Equities
The following equities are related to Sulzer AG within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Sulzer AG against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sulzer AG Market Strength Events
Investors use market strength indicators for Sulzer AG to evaluate how the stock performs relative to broader market trends. These indicators support more precise timing of Sulzer AG positions, helping investors maximize return and minimize poorly-timed trades.
Sulzer AG Risk Indicators
A careful analysis of Sulzer AG's basic risk indicators helps investors understand the risk environment surrounding sulzer stock. This understanding is an essential input for forecasting Sulzer AG's future price and for deciding how to manage the associated investment risk.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.02 | |||
| Variance | 4.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.42 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sulzer AG
Story coverage around Sulzer AG often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Sulzer AG Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Sulzer AG can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 927.4 M |
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