Seagate Technology Stock Forecast - Expected Short fall
| STX Stock | USD 346.10 0.43 0.12% |
Seagate Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Seagate Technology's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.723 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.6743 | EPS Estimate Current Year 11.8146 | EPS Estimate Next Year 16.5547 | Wall Street Target Price 354.8183 |
Using Seagate Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Seagate Technology PLC from the perspective of Seagate Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Seagate Technology using Seagate Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Seagate using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Seagate Technology's stock price.
Seagate Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Seagate Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Seagate Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Seagate Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 190.3233 | Short Percent 0.0694 | Short Ratio 3.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 13.6 M | 50 Day MA 286.7804 |
Seagate Technology PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Seagate Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Seagate. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Seagate can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Seagate Technology PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Seagate Technology Implied Volatility | 0.71 |
Seagate Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Seagate Technology PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Seagate Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Seagate Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Seagate Technology's options are near their expiration.
Seagate Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 346.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Seagate Technology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Seagate contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Seagate Technology PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0444% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Seagate Technology trading at USD 346.1, that is roughly USD 0.15 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Seagate Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Seagate Technology PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.71%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Seagate Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Seagate Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Seagate Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Seagate Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Seagate Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Seagate Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Seagate Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Seagate. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Seagate Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Seagate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Seagate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Seagate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Check Seagate Technology Volatility | Backtest Seagate Technology | Information Ratio |
Seagate Technology Trading Date Momentum
| On January 25 2026 Seagate Technology PLC was traded for 346.10 at the closing time. Highest Seagate Technology's price during the trading hours was 347.71 and the lowest price during the day was 331.75 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 25th of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 0.47% . |
| Compare Seagate Technology to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Seagate Technology
For every potential investor in Seagate, whether a beginner or expert, Seagate Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Seagate Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Seagate. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Seagate Technology's price trends.Seagate Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Seagate Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Seagate Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Seagate Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Seagate Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Seagate Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Seagate Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Seagate Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Seagate Technology PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Seagate Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Seagate Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Seagate Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting seagate stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.37 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.7 | |||
| Variance | 22.08 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.34 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Seagate Technology
The number of cover stories for Seagate Technology depends on current market conditions and Seagate Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Seagate Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Seagate Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Seagate Technology Short Properties
Seagate Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Seagate Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Seagate Technology PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Seagate Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Seagate Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 217 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 891 M |
Additional Tools for Seagate Stock Analysis
When running Seagate Technology's price analysis, check to measure Seagate Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Seagate Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Seagate Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Seagate Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Seagate Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Seagate Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.