ST Bancorp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| STBA Stock | USD 39.59 -0.37 -0.93% |
ST Bancorp's Simple Regression reference data is generated by applying the model to available daily closing prices. The projected values and error metrics are presented below as reference information.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of ST Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.50.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as ST Bancorp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. The Simple Regression reference values for ST Bancorp are derived from publicly available price data and should be used for informational purposes only. Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of ST Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 42.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 , mean absolute percentage error of 2.61 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 88.50 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict STBA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ST Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ST Bancorp | ST Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting ST Bancorp for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The current forecast range spans downside near 40.87 and upside near 44.09.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ST Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ST Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.9081 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4274 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0343 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 88.5008 |
Other Forecasting Options for ST Bancorp
For investors of all experience levels considering STBA, understanding ST Bancorp's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. STBA Stock price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.ST Bancorp Related Equities
The following equities are related to ST Bancorp within the Financials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing ST Bancorp against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ST Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for ST Bancorp stock provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading ST Bancorp.
ST Bancorp Risk Indicators
Assessing ST Bancorp's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding ST Bancorp's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ST Bancorp
A coverage review of ST Bancorp helps investors see when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
ST Bancorp Short Properties
A short-interest review of ST Bancorp helps investors understand whether skepticism in the market is becoming more influential. The stronger read compares short sentiment with trend behavior, volume, and the broader market narrative.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 B |