Sasol Stock Forecast - Downside Variance
| SSL Stock | USD 7.05 0.74 11.73% |
Sasol Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Sasol's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Sasol's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Sasol fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Sasol's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.4942 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.5679 | Wall Street Target Price 6.81 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Using Sasol hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sasol from the perspective of Sasol response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Sasol using Sasol's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Sasol using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Sasol's stock price.
Sasol Short Interest
An investor who is long Sasol may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Sasol and may potentially protect profits, hedge Sasol with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 5.5233 | Short Percent 0.0063 | Short Ratio 4.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.4 M | 50 Day MA 6.5636 |
Sasol Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Sasol's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Sasol. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Sasol can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Sasol. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Sasol Implied Volatility | 1.35 |
Sasol's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Sasol stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Sasol's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Sasol stock will not fluctuate a lot when Sasol's options are near their expiration.
Sasol after-hype prediction price | USD 7.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sasol to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Sasol Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Sasol's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Sasol's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Sasol stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Sasol's open interest, investors have to compare it to Sasol's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Sasol is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Sasol. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Sasol Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Sasol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sasol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sasol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Check Sasol Volatility | Backtest Sasol | Information Ratio |
Sasol Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Sasol was traded for 7.05 at the closing time. Highest Sasol's price during the trading hours was 7.05 and the lowest price during the day was 6.31 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 23rd of January did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 10.50% . |
| Compare Sasol to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Sasol
For every potential investor in Sasol, whether a beginner or expert, Sasol's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sasol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sasol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sasol's price trends.Sasol Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sasol stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sasol could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sasol by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Sasol Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sasol stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sasol shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sasol stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sasol entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Sasol Risk Indicators
The analysis of Sasol's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sasol's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sasol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Variance | 15.24 | |||
| Downside Variance | 12.17 | |||
| Semi Variance | 9.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Sasol
The number of cover stories for Sasol depends on current market conditions and Sasol's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sasol is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sasol's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Sasol Short Properties
Sasol's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sasol's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sasol often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sasol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sasol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 640.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 46.7 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sasol to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Sasol Stock please use our How to buy in Sasol Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
Is Diversified Chemicals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sasol. If investors know Sasol will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Sasol listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.47) | Earnings Share 0.64 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Sasol is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sasol that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sasol's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sasol's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sasol's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sasol's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sasol's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sasol is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sasol's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.