1st Source Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| SRCE Stock | USD 67.40 2.20 3.37% |
1st Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast 1st Source stock prices and determine the direction of 1st Source's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of 1st Source's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of 1st Source's stock price is about 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling 1st, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.213 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.5833 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.48 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.3767 | Wall Street Target Price 72.6667 |
Using 1st Source hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 1st Source from the perspective of 1st Source response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards 1st Source using 1st Source's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards 1st using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of 1st Source's stock price.
1st Source Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in 1st Source's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards 1st. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of 1st Source stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 61.5991 | Short Percent 0.0119 | Short Ratio 1.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 189.3 K | 50 Day MA 63.569 |
1st Source Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to 1st Source's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in 1st. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding 1st can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around 1st Source. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
1st Source Implied Volatility | 0.58 |
1st Source's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of 1st Source stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if 1st Source's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that 1st Source stock will not fluctuate a lot when 1st Source's options are near their expiration.
1st Source after-hype prediction price | USD 67.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1st Source to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current 1st contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that 1st Source will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0363% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With 1st Source trading at USD 67.4, that is roughly USD 0.0244 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating 1st Source's daily price movement you should consider acquiring 1st Source options at the current volatility level of 0.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 1st Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast 1st Source's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in 1st Source's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for 1st Source stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current 1st Source's open interest, investors have to compare it to 1st Source's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of 1st Source is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in 1st. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
1st Source Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine 1st price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 1st using various technical indicators. When you analyze 1st charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 4994.58 | 0.0342 |
| Check 1st Source Volatility | Backtest 1st Source | Information Ratio |
1st Source Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 1st Source was traded for 67.40 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 67.46 and the lowest listed price was 65.15 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 23, 2026 had no effect on price fluctuation. The daily price change against the current closing price is 3.34% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare 1st Source to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for 1st Source
For every potential investor in 1st, whether a beginner or expert, 1st Source's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. 1st Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in 1st. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying 1st Source's price trends.1st Source Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with 1st Source stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of 1st Source could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing 1st Source by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
1st Source Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how 1st Source stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading 1st Source shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying 1st Source stock market strength indicators, traders can identify 1st Source entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
1st Source Risk Indicators
The analysis of 1st Source's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in 1st Source's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting 1st stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9518 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
| Variance | 1.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.906 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.25) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for 1st Source
The number of cover stories for 1st Source depends on current market conditions and 1st Source's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 1st Source is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 1st Source's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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1st Source Short Properties
1st Source's future price predictability will typically decrease when 1st Source's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 1st Source often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 1st Source's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1st Source's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of 1st Source to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade 1st Stock refer to our How to Trade 1st Stock guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 1st Source. If investors know 1st will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 1st Source listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.213 | Dividend Share 1.52 | Earnings Share 6.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.141 |
The market value of 1st Source is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 1st that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 1st Source's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 1st Source's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 1st Source's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 1st Source's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 1st Source's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 1st Source is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 1st Source's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.