Stitch Fix Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SFIX Stock  USD 5.12  0.13  2.48%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Stitch Fix on the next trading day is expected to be 5.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.49. Stitch Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Stitch Fix's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Stitch Fix's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Stitch Fix, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Stitch Fix's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.19)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.02)
Wall Street Target Price
5.25
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.04)
Using Stitch Fix hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Stitch Fix from the perspective of Stitch Fix response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Stitch Fix using Stitch Fix's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Stitch using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Stitch Fix's stock price.

Stitch Fix Short Interest

An investor who is long Stitch Fix may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Stitch Fix and may potentially protect profits, hedge Stitch Fix with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
4.3841
Short Percent
0.1112
Short Ratio
3.56
Shares Short Prior Month
12.1 M
50 Day MA
4.6666

Stitch Fix Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Stitch Fix's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Stitch. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Stitch can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Stitch Fix. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Stitch Fix's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Stitch Fix.

Stitch Fix Implied Volatility

    
  0.98  
Stitch Fix's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Stitch Fix stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Stitch Fix's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Stitch Fix stock will not fluctuate a lot when Stitch Fix's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Stitch Fix on the next trading day is expected to be 5.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.49.

Stitch Fix after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Stitch Fix to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Stitch Stock please use our How to Invest in Stitch Fix guide.Inventory Turnover is likely to rise to 7.89 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 11.13 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 116.5 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to rise to about (147 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Stitch Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Stitch Fix's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Stitch Fix's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Stitch Fix stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Stitch Fix's open interest, investors have to compare it to Stitch Fix's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Stitch Fix is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Stitch. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Stitch Fix Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Stitch price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Stitch using various technical indicators. When you analyze Stitch charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Stitch Fix polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Stitch Fix as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Stitch Fix Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Stitch Fix on the next trading day is expected to be 5.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.22, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Stitch Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Stitch Fix's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stitch Fix Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Stitch FixStitch Fix Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Stitch Fix Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Stitch Fix's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Stitch Fix's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.09 and 8.81, respectively. We have considered Stitch Fix's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.12
5.45
Expected Value
8.81
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Stitch Fix stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Stitch Fix stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.5214
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2212
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0482
SAESum of the absolute errors13.4945
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Stitch Fix historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Stitch Fix

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Stitch Fix. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.835.198.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.634.998.35
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.785.255.83
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Stitch Fix

For every potential investor in Stitch, whether a beginner or expert, Stitch Fix's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Stitch Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Stitch. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Stitch Fix's price trends.

Stitch Fix Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Stitch Fix stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Stitch Fix could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Stitch Fix by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Stitch Fix Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Stitch Fix's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Stitch Fix's current price.

Stitch Fix Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Stitch Fix stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Stitch Fix shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Stitch Fix stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Stitch Fix entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Stitch Fix Risk Indicators

The analysis of Stitch Fix's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Stitch Fix's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting stitch stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Stitch Stock Analysis

When running Stitch Fix's price analysis, check to measure Stitch Fix's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Stitch Fix is operating at the current time. Most of Stitch Fix's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Stitch Fix's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Stitch Fix's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Stitch Fix to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.