Select Medical Stock Forecast - Value At Risk

SEM Stock  USD 15.36  0.28  1.86%   
Select Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Select Medical's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Select Medical's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Select Medical fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Select Medical's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Select Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Select Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Select Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Select Medical Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Select Medical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2344
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2282
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.3073
Wall Street Target Price
18.4
Using Select Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Select Medical Holdings from the perspective of Select Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Select Medical using Select Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Select using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Select Medical's stock price.

Select Medical Short Interest

An investor who is long Select Medical may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Select Medical and may potentially protect profits, hedge Select Medical with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
14.3881
Short Percent
0.0834
Short Ratio
3.84
Shares Short Prior Month
4.7 M
50 Day MA
14.5304

Select Medical Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Select Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Select. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Select can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Select Medical Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Select Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Select Medical.

Select Medical Implied Volatility

    
  1.1  
Select Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Select Medical Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Select Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Select Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Select Medical's options are near their expiration.

Select Medical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Select Medical to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, Select Medical's Receivables Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 16th of January 2026, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 5.02, though Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (6.38). . As of the 16th of January 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 127.7 M. In addition to that, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 163.7 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Select Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Select Medical's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Select Medical's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Select Medical stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Select Medical's open interest, investors have to compare it to Select Medical's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Select Medical is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Select. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Select Medical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Select price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Select using various technical indicators. When you analyze Select charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Select Medical Holdings has current Value At Risk of 0.
Check Select Medical VolatilityBacktest Select MedicalInformation Ratio  

Select Medical Trading Date Momentum

On January 16 2026 Select Medical Holdings was traded for  15.36  at the closing time. Highest Select Medical's price during the trading hours was 15.40  and the lowest price during the day was  15.07 . The net volume was 413.8 K. The overall trading history on the 16th of January 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 1.82% .
Compare Select Medical to competition

Other Forecasting Options for Select Medical

For every potential investor in Select, whether a beginner or expert, Select Medical's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Select Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Select. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Select Medical's price trends.

Select Medical Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Select Medical stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Select Medical could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Select Medical by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Select Medical Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Select Medical's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Select Medical's current price.

Select Medical Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Select Medical stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Select Medical shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Select Medical stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Select Medical Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Select Medical Risk Indicators

The analysis of Select Medical's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Select Medical's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting select stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether Select Medical Holdings is a strong investment it is important to analyze Select Medical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Select Medical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Select Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Select Medical to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Select Medical. If investors know Select will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Select Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.47)
Dividend Share
0.375
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
43.304
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.072
The market value of Select Medical Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Select that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Select Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Select Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Select Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Select Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Select Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Select Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Select Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.