ScanSource Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| SCSC Stock | USD 36.17 -0.03 -0.08% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.071 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9905 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9633 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6125 | Wall Street Target Price 51.6667 |
The hype-based summary links ScanSource attention patterns with price response and peers. This module tracks sentiment for ScanSource using options positioning and short interest signals.
ScanSource Short Interest Overview
For ScanSource investors, short interest trends complement other technical and fundamental signals. A stock with high short interest and improving fundamentals is often a strong candidate for a price recovery.
200 Day MA 41.1473 | Short Percent 0.0404 | Short Ratio 2.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 586.9 K | 50 Day MA 39.038 |
RSI Summary for ScanSource
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ScanSource on the next trading day is expected to be 36.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.43.ScanSource Hype Impact Pattern
Tracking public sentiment around ScanSource quantifies the psychological premium or discount embedded in ScanSource's current price. Extreme sentiment readings frequently mark turning points in the stock.
The ratio of positive to negative sentiment signals around ScanSource provides a composite view of how the stock is perceived by the market. A sharp shift in this ratio often precedes a change in price direction.
ScanSource Implied Volatility | 1.49 |
ScanSource's implied volatility tends to be mean-reverting. Periods of extremely high implied volatility in ScanSource options are often followed by a contraction as uncertainty resolves, eroding the value of recently purchased options.
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ScanSource on the next trading day is expected to be 36.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.43.ScanSource after-hype prediction price | $ 36.17 |
Attention metrics here are presented with forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
ScanSource | Build AI portfolio with ScanSource Stock |
Rule 16 Summary for current ScanSource contract - Volatility Context
Rule 16 converts implied volatility into an estimated daily move of about 0.0931% for 2026-03-20 options. With ScanSource trading near $ 36.17, that translates to about $ 0.0337 per day in either direction.
ScanSource Open Interest: 2026-03-20 Options
Open interest for ScanSource describes outstanding contracts and gives a view of market engagement.
ScanSource Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ScanSource price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ScanSource using various technical indicators. When you analyze ScanSource charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ScanSource 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of ScanSource on the next trading day is expected to be 36.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.36 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.93 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 73.43 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ScanSource Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ScanSource's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ScanSource Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ScanSource | ScanSource Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ScanSource Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for ScanSource uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ScanSource stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ScanSource stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.6137 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3911 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3598 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0356 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 73.43 |
Mean reversion in ScanSource is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
ScanSource After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for ScanSource miss the full picture. ScanSource's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ScanSource Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for ScanSource is built on the observation that ScanSource's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. ScanSource's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.10 and 39.24, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for ScanSource is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to ScanSource assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
ScanSource Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ScanSource is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ScanSource backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ScanSource, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 3.09 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 6 Events | 8 Events | In 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.17 | 36.17 | 0.00 |
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ScanSource Hype Timeline
ScanSource is at this time traded for 36.17. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.09. ScanSource is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on ScanSource is about 653.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.08. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.85. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. ScanSource has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.54. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm completed a 2:1 stock split on 6th of June 2006. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 6 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of ScanSource provides a cross-check on projections for ScanSource. The view provides historical context for the projection set.ScanSource Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for ScanSource provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently ScanSource's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTGR | NETGEAR | 0.37 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 2.34 | -3.45 | 10.74 | |
| MGIC | Magic Software Enterprises | -0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 4.98 | -8.06 | 32,065 | |
| SSYS | Stratasys | -0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 6.06 | -3.83 | 21.85 | |
| AOSL | Alpha and Omega | 0.58 | 10 per month | 2.46 | 0.02 | 5.90 | -4.92 | 14.63 | |
| CTLP | Cantaloupe | -0.21 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.0028 | 1.21 | -1.22 | 3.66 | |
| CLMB | Climb Global Solutions | -9.65 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 4.03 | -6.25 | 16.27 | |
| SKYT | Skywater Technology | 1.01 | 10 per month | 3.64 | 0.15 | 8.93 | -6.02 | 29.53 | |
| DAKT | Daktronics | -0.97 | 9 per month | 2.89 | 0.11 | 3.98 | -4.52 | 27.44 | |
| ARQQ | Arqit Quantum | 0.08 | 15 per month | 0.00 | -0.19 | 7.05 | -9.18 | 25.62 | |
| GCT | GigaCloud Technology Class | 4.16 | 9 per month | 3.13 | 0.05 | 5.71 | -6.01 | 38.67 |
Other Forecasting Options for ScanSource
For investors considering ScanSource, ScanSource's price movement is the most direct driver of investment returns. Noise in ScanSource Stock price charts can make identifying meaningful trends difficult without dedicated analytical tools.ScanSource Related Equities
The following equities are related to ScanSource within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing ScanSource against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ScanSource Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for ScanSource provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in ScanSource.
ScanSource Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of ScanSource's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in ScanSource's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.99 | |||
| Variance | 8.92 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ScanSource
Coverage intensity for ScanSource matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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ScanSource Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to ScanSource matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 126.2 M |
More Resources for ScanSource Stock Analysis
Reviewing ScanSource commonly begins with financial statements and performance trends. Ratios and trend metrics help frame ScanSource's operating context. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for ScanSource Stock:Historical Fundamental Analysis of ScanSource provides a cross-check on projections for ScanSource. The view provides historical context for the projection set. To understand the process of investing in ScanSource Stock, visit our How to Invest in ScanSource guide.Analysis related to ScanSource should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.071 | Earnings Share 3.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate ScanSource using market value and book value, each describing different facets of the business. ScanSource's market capitalization is 794.32 M. A P/B ratio of 0.85 suggests ScanSource trades near or below book value. Enterprise value stands at 795.28 M. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Value and price for ScanSource are related but not identical, and they can diverge across cycles. For ScanSource, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 8.85, a P/B ratio of 0.85, a profit margin of 2.44%, and ROE of 8.16%. Market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.