Rigetti Computing Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RGTI Stock | USD 23.45 1.51 6.05% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rigetti Computing on the next trading day is expected to be 23.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.63. Rigetti Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rigetti Computing's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Rigetti Computing's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.14) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.15) | Wall Street Target Price 38.8509 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) |
Using Rigetti Computing hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rigetti Computing from the perspective of Rigetti Computing response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rigetti Computing using Rigetti Computing's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rigetti using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rigetti Computing's stock price.
Rigetti Computing Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Rigetti Computing's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Rigetti. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Rigetti Computing stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 20.7319 | Short Percent 0.1374 | Short Ratio 1.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 41.3 M | 50 Day MA 25.7388 |
Rigetti Computing Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rigetti Computing's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rigetti. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rigetti can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rigetti Computing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Rigetti Computing Implied Volatility | 0.99 |
Rigetti Computing's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rigetti Computing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rigetti Computing's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rigetti Computing stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rigetti Computing's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rigetti Computing on the next trading day is expected to be 23.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.63.
Rigetti Computing after-hype prediction price | USD 24.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rigetti Computing to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rigetti contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rigetti Computing will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0619% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Rigetti Computing trading at USD 23.45, that is roughly USD 0.0145 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rigetti Computing's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rigetti Computing options at the current volatility level of 0.99%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Rigetti Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rigetti Computing's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rigetti Computing's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rigetti Computing stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rigetti Computing's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rigetti Computing's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rigetti Computing is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rigetti. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rigetti Computing Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rigetti price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rigetti using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rigetti charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rigetti Computing Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rigetti Computing on the next trading day is expected to be 23.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43, mean absolute percentage error of 3.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rigetti Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rigetti Computing's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rigetti Computing Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rigetti Computing | Rigetti Computing Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rigetti Computing Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rigetti Computing's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rigetti Computing's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.29 and 29.61, respectively. We have considered Rigetti Computing's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rigetti Computing stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rigetti Computing stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.4913 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.2798 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0506 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 85.63 |
Predictive Modules for Rigetti Computing
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rigetti Computing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rigetti Computing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rigetti Computing After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rigetti Computing at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rigetti Computing or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rigetti Computing, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rigetti Computing Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rigetti Computing's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rigetti Computing's historical news coverage. Rigetti Computing's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.03 and 30.27, respectively. We have considered Rigetti Computing's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rigetti Computing is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rigetti Computing is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rigetti Computing Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rigetti Computing is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rigetti Computing backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rigetti Computing, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 6.16 | 0.93 | 127.77 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.45 | 24.15 | 3.25 |
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Rigetti Computing Hype Timeline
Rigetti Computing is at this time traded for 23.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.93, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 127.77. Rigetti is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 24.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.25%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.69%. The volatility of related hype on Rigetti Computing is about 3.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 151.22. About 51.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.07. Rigetti Computing recorded a loss per share of 1.46. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rigetti Computing to cross-verify your projections.Rigetti Computing Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rigetti Computing's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rigetti Computing's future price movements. Getting to know how Rigetti Computing's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rigetti Computing may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRT | Marti Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.03) | 7.59 | (4.02) | 20.77 | |
| TIMB | TIM Participacoes SA | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.03 | 3.06 | (2.72) | 8.26 | |
| CCCC | C4 Therapeutics | 0.36 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.16 | (7.32) | 24.93 | |
| HOLO | MicroCloud Hologram | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 5.57 | (8.22) | 15.30 | |
| ABSOF | ABS CBN Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.00 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.79 | 0.12 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| FGRO | Fidelity Growth Opportunities | 1,666 | 2 per month | 17.20 | 0.17 | 1.35 | (1.60) | 5,625 | |
| LLYVK | Liberty Live Holdings | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.12 | (2.93) | 10.93 | |
| LSIIX | Loomis Sayles Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.16 | (0.59) | 0.20 | (0.30) | 0.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rigetti Computing
For every potential investor in Rigetti, whether a beginner or expert, Rigetti Computing's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rigetti Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rigetti. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rigetti Computing's price trends.Rigetti Computing Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rigetti Computing stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rigetti Computing could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rigetti Computing by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rigetti Computing Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rigetti Computing stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rigetti Computing shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rigetti Computing stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rigetti Computing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2.3 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.77) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 23.97 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.54) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.51) |
Rigetti Computing Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rigetti Computing's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rigetti Computing's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rigetti stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.0 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.26 | |||
| Variance | 39.16 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rigetti Computing
The number of cover stories for Rigetti Computing depends on current market conditions and Rigetti Computing's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rigetti Computing is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rigetti Computing's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rigetti Computing Short Properties
Rigetti Computing's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rigetti Computing's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rigetti Computing often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rigetti Computing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rigetti Computing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 184.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 192.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rigetti Computing to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Rigetti Stock please use our How to Invest in Rigetti Computing guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rigetti Computing. If investors know Rigetti will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rigetti Computing listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.46) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Rigetti Computing is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rigetti that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rigetti Computing's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rigetti Computing's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rigetti Computing's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rigetti Computing's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rigetti Computing's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rigetti Computing is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rigetti Computing's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.