Rigetti Computing Stock Performance

RGTI Stock  USD 21.76  1.69  7.21%   
The company holds a Beta of 2.29, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Rigetti Computing will likely underperform. At this point, Rigetti Computing has a negative expected return of -0.8%. Please make sure to check Rigetti Computing's value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and period momentum indicator , to decide if Rigetti Computing performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Rigetti Computing has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite conflicting performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in February 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(7.21)
Five Day Return
(11.07)
Year To Date Return
(7.80)
Ten Year Return
119.8
All Time Return
119.8
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Begin Period Cash Flow21.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-78.4 M

Rigetti Computing Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  3,941  in Rigetti Computing on October 29, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (1,765) from holding Rigetti Computing or give up 44.79% of portfolio value over 90 days. Rigetti Computing is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 6.1309% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 55% of stocks are less volatile than Rigetti, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Rigetti Computing is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 8.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.13 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

Rigetti Computing Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Rigetti Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 21.76 90 days 21.76 
about 85.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rigetti Computing to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.52 (This Rigetti Computing probability density function shows the probability of Rigetti Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.29 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Rigetti Computing will likely underperform. Additionally Rigetti Computing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Rigetti Computing Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Rigetti Computing

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rigetti Computing. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rigetti Computing's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.6121.7627.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.7420.8927.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.1024.2530.39
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
35.3538.8543.12
Details

Rigetti Computing Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rigetti Computing is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rigetti Computing's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rigetti Computing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rigetti Computing within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.9
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.29
σ
Overall volatility
5.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Rigetti Computing Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rigetti Computing for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rigetti Computing can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rigetti Computing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rigetti Computing has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rigetti Computing has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (200.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 M.
Rigetti Computing currently holds about 161.02 M in cash with (50.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: IonQ Just Bought Its Own Chip Foundry for 1.8 Billion Is This the Nvidia of Quantum

Rigetti Computing Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rigetti Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rigetti Computing's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rigetti Computing's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding184.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments192.1 M

Rigetti Computing Fundamentals Growth

Rigetti Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Rigetti Computing, and Rigetti Computing fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Rigetti Stock performance.

About Rigetti Computing Performance

By evaluating Rigetti Computing's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into Rigetti Computing's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if Rigetti Computing has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Rigetti Computing has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 339.71  301.96 
Return On Tangible Assets(0.64)(0.67)
Return On Capital Employed(0.29)(0.27)
Return On Assets(0.64)(0.67)
Return On Equity(1.83)(1.92)

Things to note about Rigetti Computing performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Rigetti Computing for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Rigetti Computing help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Rigetti Computing generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Rigetti Computing has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Rigetti Computing has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 10.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (200.99 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 M.
Rigetti Computing currently holds about 161.02 M in cash with (50.63 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.31.
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: IonQ Just Bought Its Own Chip Foundry for 1.8 Billion Is This the Nvidia of Quantum
Evaluating Rigetti Computing's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Rigetti Computing's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Rigetti Computing's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Rigetti Computing's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Rigetti Computing's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Rigetti Computing's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Rigetti Computing's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Rigetti Computing's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Rigetti Computing's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Rigetti Computing's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Rigetti Computing's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for Rigetti Stock analysis

When running Rigetti Computing's price analysis, check to measure Rigetti Computing's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rigetti Computing is operating at the current time. Most of Rigetti Computing's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rigetti Computing's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rigetti Computing's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rigetti Computing to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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