Richardson Electronics Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| RELL Stock | USD 10.91 -0.21 -1.89% |
Momentum
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.211 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.22 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.55 | Wall Street Target Price 12 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter -0.02 |
This section provides headline-driven context for Richardson Electronics alongside peer activity. The sentiment layer reflects Richardson Electronics' options activity and short interest context.
Richardson Electronics Short Interest View
A sudden spike in Richardson Electronics' short interest may indicate that institutional investors have identified specific risks - such as earnings disappointments or regulatory events - not yet priced into the market.
200 Day MA 10.5162 | Short Percent 0.0316 | Short Ratio 1.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 449.4 K | 50 Day MA 11.791 |
Richardson RSI Context
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Richardson Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 12.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.65.Richardson Electronics Hype-Price Relationship
Sentiment data for Richardson Electronics synthesizes media coverage, analyst tone, and social engagement into a single signal. When Richardson Electronics' sentiment diverges sharply from price, a mean-reversion trade may be developing.
For Richardson Electronics, sentiment analysis reveals whether the prevailing narrative matches business reality. A persistent divergence often resolves in the direction of fundamentals once sentiment normalizes.
Richardson Electronics Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
When Richardson Electronics' implied volatility is unusually high relative to its historical average, options premiums are inflated. Sophisticated investors may choose to sell options in this environment to collect elevated premium income.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Richardson Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 12.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.65.Richardson Electronics after-hype prediction price | $ 11.16 |
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Richardson | Build AI portfolio with Richardson Stock |
Rule 16 Overview for current Richardson contract - Risk Context
Rule 16 applies implied volatility to estimate a daily move of roughly 0.0819% across the 2026-06-18 option cycle. The figure is a neutral volatility reference; near $ 10.91, it implies about $ 0.008933 per day.
Open Interest Context: Richardson 2026-06-18 Options
Open interest represents the number of active Richardson Electronics option contracts and offers a participation signal.
Richardson Electronics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Richardson price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Richardson using various technical indicators. When you analyze Richardson charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Richardson Electronics on the next trading day is expected to be 12.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.62 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.67 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 37.65 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Richardson Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Richardson Electronics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Richardson Electronics | Richardson Electronics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Richardson Electronics uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Richardson Electronics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Richardson Electronics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7109 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6172 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0519 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 37.6495 |
The mean reversion effect in Richardson Electronics is stronger when the initial deviation was driven by sentiment rather than fundamental change. Identifying the root cause of Richardson Electronics' price dislocation is essential before acting.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The probability distribution for Richardson Electronics' predicted price encodes the full spectrum of outcomes, weighted by their estimated likelihood. Investors should compare this range against their personal risk tolerance before committing to Richardson Electronics positions.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news prediction model for Richardson Electronics analyzes the correlation between Richardson Electronics' historical headline events and same-day or next-day price movements. Richardson Electronics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.89 and 15.43, respectively. Predictive accuracy varies significantly across different news categories and market regimes for Richardson Electronics.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Richardson Electronics assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Richardson Electronics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Richardson Electronics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Richardson Electronics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 4.27 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 10 Events | 8 Events | In 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.91 | 11.16 | 0.36 |
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Hype Timeline
Richardson Electronics is at this time traded for 10.91. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Richardson is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 11.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.36%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Richardson Electronics is about 902.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.85. The company reported previous year's revenue of 208.91 M. Net Loss for the year was -1.14 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 64.63 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in 10 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Richardson Electronics can be used to cross-verify projections for Richardson Electronics. The historical series provides projection context.Related Hype Analysis
Sector-wide news events often affect Richardson Electronics before the fundamental impact on Richardson Electronics' own business becomes clear. Peer hype analysis helps investors distinguish between sector-level sentiment shifts and Richardson Electronics-specific developments.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MPTI | M tron Industries | -2.32 | 8 per month | 2.17 | 0.16 | 4.41 | -3.96 | 17.25 | |
| KULR | KULR Technology Group | 0.15 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 8.94 | -9.33 | 30.96 | |
| WRAP | Wrap Technologies | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 8.40 | -8.96 | 24.50 | |
| SATL | Satellogic V | -0.06 | 8 per month | 6.80 | 0.14 | 19.93 | -11.49 | 47.02 | |
| ZEPP | Zepp Health Corp | -2.21 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 8.73 | -12.76 | 39.55 | |
| STEM | Stem Inc | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 7.90 | -7.96 | 31.83 | |
| ARAI | Arrive AI | -0.56 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.31 | 6.40 | -11.85 | 29.79 | |
| TTEC | TTEC Holdings | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 8.68 | -9.18 | 27.26 | |
| HIT | Health In Tech | -0.02 | 8 per month | 4.06 | 0.17 | 14.08 | -7.10 | 30.57 | |
| EXFY | Expensify | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.19 | 4.92 | -5.88 | 32.71 |
Other Forecasting Options for Richardson Electronics
For both new and experienced investors in Richardson, the ability to analyze Richardson Electronics' price movement is a fundamental investment skill. Price chart noise in Richardson Stock can create false signals and mislead investment decisions.Richardson Electronics Related Equities
The following equities are related to Richardson Electronics within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Richardson Electronics against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Richardson Electronics Market Strength Events
Tracking market strength indicators for Richardson Electronics helps investors understand the momentum dynamics of the stock in real time. These signals support informed decisions about when to enter or exit positions in Richardson Electronics for maximum return potential.
Richardson Electronics Risk Indicators
Properly assessing Richardson Electronics' risk indicators is a prerequisite for building reliable price forecasts. Identifying and quantifying the risks associated with Richardson Electronics' allows investors to make better-informed decisions about accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 2.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.15 | |||
| Variance | 17.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 18.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 15.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -3.05 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Richardson Electronics
Coverage intensity for Richardson Electronics matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Richardson Electronics Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Richardson Electronics matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 35.9 M |
More Resources for Richardson Stock Analysis
A comprehensive view of Richardson Electronics starts with financial statements and ratio context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Richardson Electronics Stock. Key reports that frame Richardson Electronics Stock are listed below:Historical Fundamental Analysis of Richardson Electronics can be used to cross-verify projections for Richardson Electronics. The historical series provides projection context. Our How to Invest in Richardson Electronics guide provides practical guidance on trading Richardson Stock.Analysis related to Richardson Electronics should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.211 | Dividend Share 0.24 | Earnings Share 0.05 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
Understanding Richardson Electronics includes distinguishing between market value and book value, where book value reflects Richardson's accounting equity. Richardson Electronics' market capitalization is 161.37 M. A P/B ratio of 1.05 indicates the market values Richardson Electronics above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 134.98 M. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
It is useful to distinguish Richardson Electronics' value from its trading price, which are computed with different methods. For Richardson Electronics, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 16.53, a P/B ratio of 1.05, a profit margin of 0.38%, and ROE of 0.51%. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.