PACIFIC FUNDS Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Regression

POCEX Fund  USD 13.16  -0.26  -1.94%   
This page provides Simple Regression reference data for Pacific Funds Portfolio, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Pacific Funds Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 13.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.20.In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pacific Funds Portfolio historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data. PACIFIC FUNDS's Simple Regression reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through PACIFIC FUNDS price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 23rd of March

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Pacific Funds Portfolio on the next trading day is expected to be 13.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.06 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.20 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict PACIFIC Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that PACIFIC FUNDS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast for Pacific Funds Portfolio focuses on identifying predictive downside and upside bands that can frame a realistic trading range. The current forecast range spans downside near 12.99 and upside near 14.51.
Market Value
13.16
13.75
Expected Value
14.51
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of PACIFIC FUNDS mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent PACIFIC FUNDS mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2305
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2001
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0145
SAESum of the absolute errors12.2047
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Pacific Funds Portfolio historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Other Forecasting Options for PACIFIC FUNDS

The price movement of PACIFIC is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. PACIFIC Mutual Fund price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.

PACIFIC FUNDS Related Equities

The following equities are related to PACIFIC FUNDS within the Allocation--85%+ Equity space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing PACIFIC FUNDS against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

PACIFIC FUNDS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators applied to PACIFIC FUNDS mutual fund help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Pacific Funds Portfolio.

PACIFIC FUNDS Risk Indicators

Risk indicator analysis for PACIFIC FUNDS is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in PACIFIC FUNDS's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for PACIFIC FUNDS

Coverage intensity for Pacific Funds Portfolio matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.