Plumas Bancorp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| PLBC Stock | USD 49.60 -0.63 -1.25% |
Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.199 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.2667 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.41 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.69 | Wall Street Target Price 57.3333 |
The hype-based view summarizes Plumas Bancorp's price response to recent headlines and peer coverage.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Plumas Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 53.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65 and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.56.Plumas Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 49.79 |
This hype view sits alongside price forecasting, technical analysis, analyst consensus, earnings estimates, and momentum indicators.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plumas Bancorp to cross-verify projections for Plumas Bancorp. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Plumas Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Plumas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Plumas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Plumas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Plumas Bancorp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 11th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Plumas Bancorp on the next trading day is expected to be 53.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.65 , mean absolute percentage error of 3.57 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 102.56 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Plumas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Plumas Bancorp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Plumas Bancorp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Plumas Bancorp | Plumas Bancorp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Plumas Bancorp Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Plumas Bancorp uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Plumas Bancorp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Plumas Bancorp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.2222 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.6541 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0342 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 102.5553 |
Mean reversion is the tendency of Plumas Bancorp's price to return to its historical average after periods of extreme deviation. Investors who identify when Plumas Bancorp's is significantly above or below its mean may find compelling entry or exit opportunities.
Plumas Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
This probability density chart for Plumas Bancorp shows how predicted future prices are distributed across a range of outcomes. Wider distributions reflect higher uncertainty, while narrow distributions indicate greater consensus about Plumas Bancorp's likely price range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Plumas Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news analysis for Plumas Bancorp provides statistically derived price boundaries for the session following a significant headline. Plumas Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.90 and 51.68, respectively. These boundaries are derived from Plumas Bancorp's past price reactions to comparable news events, not forward-looking forecasts.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Plumas Bancorp assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Plumas Bancorp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Plumas Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Plumas Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Plumas Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.89 | 0.19 | 0.01 | 9 Events | 5 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
49.60 | 49.79 | 0.38 |
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Plumas Bancorp Hype Timeline
Plumas Bancorp is at this time traded for 49.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Plumas is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 49.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 190.91%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.38%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Plumas Bancorp is about 4108.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.61. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 108.25 M. Net Income was 28.62 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 91.45 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plumas Bancorp to cross-verify projections for Plumas Bancorp. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Plumas Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Monitoring how Plumas Bancorp's competitors respond to market-moving news provides a leading indicator for how Plumas Bancorp itself may react to similar events. Peer hype analysis captures this cross-asset sentiment signal.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CBAN | Colony Bankcorp | 0.01 | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.14 | 2.97 | -1.57 | 9.08 | |
| FNLC | First Bancorp | 0.62 | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.09 | 3.20 | -2.78 | 8.15 | |
| FSBW | FS Bancorp | 1.14 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 3.13 | -2.31 | 9.27 | |
| WSBF | Waterstone Financial | -0.06 | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.09 | 2.57 | -2.69 | 11.36 | |
| BCML | BayCom Corp | -0.62 | 5 per month | 1.49 | 0.01 | 3.01 | -2.78 | 9.92 | |
| PCB | PCB Bancorp | 0.04 | 11 per month | 1.71 | 0.02 | 2.81 | -2.38 | 9.24 | |
| CZNC | Citizens Northern Corp | 0.45 | 6 per month | 1.32 | 0.11 | 2.95 | -2.56 | 7.63 | |
| TSBK | Timberland Bancorp | -0.33 | 5 per month | 1.08 | 0.10 | 3.41 | -2.04 | 8.75 | |
| JMSB | John Marshall Bancorp | -0.50 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 2.81 | -2.63 | 8.67 | |
| CZFS | Citizens Financial Services | -0.29 | 7 per month | 1.97 | 0.09 | 3.61 | -3.46 | 10.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Plumas Bancorp
For investors of all experience levels considering Plumas, understanding Plumas Bancorp's price movement is fundamental to making sound investment decisions. Plumas Stock price charts contain significant noise that can obscure meaningful trends.Plumas Bancorp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Plumas Bancorp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Plumas Bancorp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Plumas Bancorp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Plumas Bancorp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Plumas Bancorp stock provide investors with a framework for assessing how the security responds to changing market conditions. These indicators help determine optimal entry and exit points for trading Plumas Bancorp.
Plumas Bancorp Risk Indicators
Assessing Plumas Bancorp's risk indicators is a critical component of any rigorous approach to forecasting its future price. Understanding the risk involved in holding Plumas Bancorp's allows investors to make an informed decision about whether to accept or mitigate that exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 1.12 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9639 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9291 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.26 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Plumas Bancorp
Coverage intensity for Plumas Bancorp matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Plumas Bancorp Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Plumas Bancorp matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.6 M |
More Resources for Plumas Stock Analysis
A structured review of Plumas Bancorp often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratio context helps frame profitability, efficiency, and growth trends for Plumas Bancorp Stock. Highlighted below are reports that provide context for Plumas Bancorp Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Plumas Bancorp to cross-verify projections for Plumas Bancorp. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set. For more detail on how to invest in Plumas Stock please use our How to Invest in Plumas Bancorp guide.Analysis related to Plumas Bancorp should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.199 | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 4.54 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.324 |
The market value of Plumas Bancorp is measured differently than book value, which reflects Plumas accounting equity. Intrinsic value is an estimate of what Plumas Bancorp's fundamentals imply, and it may differ from market and book figures. External forces such as sentiment and macro conditions can shift prices away from fundamental signals. Analytical frameworks help compare those viewpoints.
Note that Plumas Bancorp's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. Evaluation typically reviews profitability, growth, balance sheet strength, industry position, and market signals. The quoted price is simply the exchange level where supply meets demand.