Pro Dex Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

PDEX Stock  USD 37.72  0.76  1.98%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pro Dex on the next trading day is expected to be 37.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.18. Pro Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of Pro Dex's share price is above 80 indicating that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 94

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Pro Dex's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pro Dex, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Pro Dex hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pro Dex from the perspective of Pro Dex response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pro Dex on the next trading day is expected to be 37.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.18.

Pro Dex after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pro Dex to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Pro Stock please use our How to Invest in Pro Dex guide.

Pro Dex Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Pro Dex works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Pro Dex Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Pro Dex on the next trading day is expected to be 37.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.21, mean absolute percentage error of 3.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pro Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pro Dex's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pro Dex Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pro DexPro Dex Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pro Dex Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pro Dex's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pro Dex's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 32.39 and 42.87, respectively. We have considered Pro Dex's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.72
37.63
Expected Value
42.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pro Dex stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pro Dex stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.142
MADMean absolute deviation1.2064
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.036
SAESum of the absolute errors71.18
When Pro Dex prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Pro Dex trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Pro Dex observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Pro Dex

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pro Dex. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pro Dex's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.4837.7242.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.0130.2541.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.2637.9738.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Pro Dex

For every potential investor in Pro, whether a beginner or expert, Pro Dex's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pro Dex's price trends.

Pro Dex Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pro Dex stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pro Dex could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pro Dex by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pro Dex Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pro Dex's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pro Dex's current price.

Pro Dex Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pro Dex stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pro Dex shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pro Dex stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pro Dex entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Pro Dex Risk Indicators

The analysis of Pro Dex's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Pro Dex's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting pro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Pro Stock Analysis

When running Pro Dex's price analysis, check to measure Pro Dex's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pro Dex is operating at the current time. Most of Pro Dex's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pro Dex's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pro Dex's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pro Dex to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.