Nexstar Broadcasting Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

NXST Stock  USD 208.84  5.79  2.85%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nexstar Broadcasting Group on the next trading day is expected to be 208.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 182.37. Nexstar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Nexstar Broadcasting's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nexstar Broadcasting's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nexstar Broadcasting Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nexstar Broadcasting's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
4.51
EPS Estimate Current Year
12.2236
EPS Estimate Next Year
24.863
Wall Street Target Price
230.5
Using Nexstar Broadcasting hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nexstar Broadcasting Group from the perspective of Nexstar Broadcasting response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nexstar Broadcasting using Nexstar Broadcasting's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nexstar using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nexstar Broadcasting's stock price.

Nexstar Broadcasting Short Interest

An investor who is long Nexstar Broadcasting may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nexstar Broadcasting and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nexstar Broadcasting with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
184.7878
Short Percent
0.0924
Short Ratio
6.46
Shares Short Prior Month
2.1 M
50 Day MA
194.7978

Nexstar Broadcasting Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nexstar Broadcasting's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nexstar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nexstar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nexstar Broadcasting Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nexstar Broadcasting's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nexstar Broadcasting.

Nexstar Broadcasting Implied Volatility

    
  0.6  
Nexstar Broadcasting's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nexstar Broadcasting Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nexstar Broadcasting's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nexstar Broadcasting stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nexstar Broadcasting's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nexstar Broadcasting Group on the next trading day is expected to be 208.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 182.37.

Nexstar Broadcasting after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 208.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nexstar Broadcasting to cross-verify your projections.
Inventory Turnover is likely to drop to 33.64 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to drop to 9.09 in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to gain to about 1.2 B in 2026, whereas Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 33.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Nexstar Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Nexstar Broadcasting's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Nexstar Broadcasting's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Nexstar Broadcasting stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Nexstar Broadcasting's open interest, investors have to compare it to Nexstar Broadcasting's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Nexstar Broadcasting is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Nexstar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Nexstar Broadcasting Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nexstar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nexstar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nexstar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Nexstar Broadcasting is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Nexstar Broadcasting Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Nexstar Broadcasting Group on the next trading day is expected to be 208.84 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.04, mean absolute percentage error of 14.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 182.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nexstar Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nexstar Broadcasting's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Nexstar Broadcasting Stock Forecast Pattern

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Nexstar Broadcasting Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Nexstar Broadcasting's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nexstar Broadcasting's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 207.09 and 210.59, respectively. We have considered Nexstar Broadcasting's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
208.84
207.09
Downside
208.84
Expected Value
210.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nexstar Broadcasting stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nexstar Broadcasting stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.9209
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1841
MADMean absolute deviation3.0396
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0156
SAESum of the absolute errors182.375
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Nexstar Broadcasting Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Nexstar Broadcasting. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Nexstar Broadcasting

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nexstar Broadcasting. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nexstar Broadcasting's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
207.01208.73210.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
187.96218.63220.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
182.32197.71213.09
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
209.76230.50255.86
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Nexstar Broadcasting

For every potential investor in Nexstar, whether a beginner or expert, Nexstar Broadcasting's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nexstar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nexstar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nexstar Broadcasting's price trends.

Nexstar Broadcasting Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nexstar Broadcasting stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nexstar Broadcasting could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nexstar Broadcasting by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Nexstar Broadcasting Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nexstar Broadcasting's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nexstar Broadcasting's current price.

Nexstar Broadcasting Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nexstar Broadcasting stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nexstar Broadcasting shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nexstar Broadcasting stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nexstar Broadcasting Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Nexstar Broadcasting Risk Indicators

The analysis of Nexstar Broadcasting's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nexstar Broadcasting's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nexstar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Nexstar Stock Analysis

When running Nexstar Broadcasting's price analysis, check to measure Nexstar Broadcasting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nexstar Broadcasting is operating at the current time. Most of Nexstar Broadcasting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nexstar Broadcasting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nexstar Broadcasting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nexstar Broadcasting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.