Navios Maritime Stock Forecast - Expected Short fall
| NMM Stock | USD 57.38 0.76 1.34% |
Navios Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Navios Maritime's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Navios Maritime's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Navios Maritime fundamentals over time.
As of now the value of relative strength index of Navios Maritime's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 3.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.5 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.6 | Wall Street Target Price 73 |
Using Navios Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Navios Maritime Partners from the perspective of Navios Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Navios Maritime using Navios Maritime's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Navios using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Navios Maritime's stock price.
Navios Maritime Short Interest
An investor who is long Navios Maritime may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Navios Maritime and may potentially protect profits, hedge Navios Maritime with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 44.5056 | Short Percent 0.019 | Short Ratio 3.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 303.6 K | 50 Day MA 53.0836 |
Navios Maritime Partners Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Navios Maritime's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Navios. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Navios can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Navios Maritime Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Navios Maritime Implied Volatility | 0.53 |
Navios Maritime's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Navios Maritime Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Navios Maritime's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Navios Maritime stock will not fluctuate a lot when Navios Maritime's options are near their expiration.
Navios Maritime after-hype prediction price | USD 57.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Navios Maritime to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Navios contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Navios Maritime Partners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0331% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Navios Maritime trading at USD 57.38, that is roughly USD 0.019 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Navios Maritime's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Navios Maritime Partners options at the current volatility level of 0.53%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Navios Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Navios Maritime's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Navios Maritime's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Navios Maritime stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Navios Maritime's open interest, investors have to compare it to Navios Maritime's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Navios Maritime is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Navios. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Navios Maritime Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Navios price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Navios using various technical indicators. When you analyze Navios charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Navios Maritime Volatility | Backtest Navios Maritime | Information Ratio |
Navios Maritime Trading Date Momentum
| On January 23 2026 Navios Maritime Partners was traded for 57.38 at the closing time. Highest Navios Maritime's price during the trading hours was 58.35 and the lowest price during the day was 56.99 . The net volume was 60.4 K. The overall trading history on the 23rd of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.68% . |
| Compare Navios Maritime to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Navios Maritime
For every potential investor in Navios, whether a beginner or expert, Navios Maritime's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Navios Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Navios. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Navios Maritime's price trends.Navios Maritime Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Navios Maritime stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Navios Maritime could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Navios Maritime by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Navios Maritime Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Navios Maritime stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Navios Maritime shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Navios Maritime stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Navios Maritime Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 1408.13 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.5588 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 57.67 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 57.57 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.09 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.76 |
Navios Maritime Risk Indicators
The analysis of Navios Maritime's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Navios Maritime's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting navios stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.55 | |||
| Variance | 2.4 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.09 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.49) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Navios Maritime
The number of cover stories for Navios Maritime depends on current market conditions and Navios Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Navios Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Navios Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Navios Maritime Short Properties
Navios Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Navios Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Navios Maritime Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Navios Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navios Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 282.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Navios Maritime to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navios Maritime. If investors know Navios will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navios Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | Dividend Share 0.2 | Earnings Share 8.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.018 |
The market value of Navios Maritime Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navios that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navios Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navios Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navios Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navios Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navios Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navios Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navios Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.