Natural Grocers Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| NGVC Stock | USD 26.22 0.26 1.00% |
Natural Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Natural Grocers stock prices and determine the direction of Natural Grocers by's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Natural Grocers' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Natural Grocers' share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Natural Grocers, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.95 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.17 | Wall Street Target Price 54 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
Using Natural Grocers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Natural Grocers by from the perspective of Natural Grocers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Natural Grocers using Natural Grocers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Natural using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Natural Grocers' stock price.
Natural Grocers Implied Volatility | 0.95 |
Natural Grocers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Natural Grocers by stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Natural Grocers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Natural Grocers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Natural Grocers' options are near their expiration.
Natural Grocers after-hype prediction price | USD 26.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Grocers to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Natural contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Natural Grocers by will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0594% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Natural Grocers trading at USD 26.22, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Natural Grocers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Natural Grocers by options at the current volatility level of 0.95%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Natural Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Natural Grocers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Natural Grocers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Natural Grocers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Natural Grocers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Natural Grocers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Natural Grocers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Natural. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Natural Grocers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Natural price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Natural using various technical indicators. When you analyze Natural charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check Natural Grocers Volatility | Backtest Natural Grocers | Information Ratio |
Natural Grocers Trading Date Momentum
| On January 27 2026 Natural Grocers by was traded for 26.22 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 26.22 and the lowest listed price was 25.96 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 27, 2026 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 0.99% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare Natural Grocers to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Natural Grocers
For every potential investor in Natural, whether a beginner or expert, Natural Grocers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Natural Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Natural. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Natural Grocers' price trends.Natural Grocers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Natural Grocers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Natural Grocers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natural Grocers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Natural Grocers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Natural Grocers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Natural Grocers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Natural Grocers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Natural Grocers by entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Natural Grocers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Natural Grocers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Natural Grocers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting natural stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Variance | 6.79 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Natural Grocers
The number of cover stories for Natural Grocers depends on current market conditions and Natural Grocers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Natural Grocers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Natural Grocers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Natural Grocers Short Properties
Natural Grocers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Natural Grocers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Natural Grocers by often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Natural Grocers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Natural Grocers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Natural Grocers to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the AI Portfolio Prophet module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Is Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Natural Grocers. If investors know Natural will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Natural Grocers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.25 | Dividend Share 0.46 | Earnings Share 1.88 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.063 |
The market value of Natural Grocers by is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Natural that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Natural Grocers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Natural Grocers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Natural Grocers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Natural Grocers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Natural Grocers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Natural Grocers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Natural Grocers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.