NetEase Stock Forward View - 20 Period Moving Average

NETE34 Stock  BRL 60.72  -0.54  -0.88%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecast reference data for NetEase is based on the equity's recent trading history. Forecast values and accuracy indicators are summarized on this page for reference. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of NetEase on the next trading day is expected to be 60.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.08.The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. NetEase 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future. The 20 Period Moving Average projections for NetEase are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for NetEase is based on a synthetically constructed NetEasedaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of March

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of NetEase on the next trading day is expected to be 60.05 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.03 , mean absolute percentage error of 21.00 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 165.08 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict NetEase Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that NetEase's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest NetEase  NetEase Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for NetEase uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Market Value
60.72
60.05
Expected Value
62.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of NetEase stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent NetEase stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria84.3973
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 3.577
MADMean absolute deviation4.0264
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0637
SAESum of the absolute errors165.0825
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. NetEase 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Other Forecasting Options for NetEase

Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of NetEase Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When NetEase's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in NetEase's returns can persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.

NetEase Related Equities

NetEase's market space within the Electronic Gaming & Multimedia space is best grasped by looking at the firms listed below. Growth rate gaps between NetEase and its peers often explain pricing differences in the market. Finding which peers are closest to NetEase in business model helps sharpen the comparison.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

NetEase Market Strength Events

Analyzing market strength indicators for NetEase enables investors to understand relative stock momentum. Investors use these tools to determine the best times to initiate or close positions in NetEase. Market strength indicators support more precise timing of NetEase positions across market cycles.

NetEase Risk Indicators

Identifying and analyzing NetEase's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process involves measuring the level of investment risk in NetEase's and determining how best to manage it. Studying NetEase's risk indicators helps investors understand the risk level of netease stock.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for NetEase

Story coverage around NetEase often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. This is most useful when investors want to understand why a security is suddenly drawing more public discussion.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.

More Resources for NetEase Stock Analysis

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in NetEase Stock

Analysis of NetEase often begins with its financial statements and historical patterns. The following reports provide structured context for NetEase Stock:
The Historical Fundamental Analysis of NetEase dataset supports cross-verification of projections for NetEase.
For more information on how to buy NetEase Stock please use our How to Invest in NetEase overview. It covers everything you need to know about trading NetEase Stock.
NetEase currently shows ROE of 20.45%, market cap of 307.46 Billion. NetEase analysis should be paired with portfolio risk and diversification tools before adjusting allocations. A thorough NetEase review pairs this page with the quantitative and comparative resources listed below. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Note that NetEase's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. The observed price for NetEase captures the most recent agreement between transacting parties.