Playstudios Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MYPS Stock | USD 0.52 0.02 4.00% |
This module analyzes aggregated news and social signals around Playstudios to forecast near-term price direction. It is best used as one input among several, alongside fundamental and technical analysis.
Per the latest calculation, Playstudios reflects the relative strength index (RSI) of 0, indicating compressed downside momentum. Deeply oversold conditions like this sometimes attract bargain hunters, but can also persist during prolonged declines.Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.028 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.0307 | EPS Estimate Current Year -0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year -0.03 | Wall Street Target Price 1.75 |
This view connects Playstudios headline attention with price response and peer context. This module summarizes sentiment around Playstudios using options and short interest metrics.
Short Interest Metrics for Playstudios
Short sellers in Playstudios profit when Playstudios' stock falls below their entry price. Monitoring short interest helps long investors understand the magnitude of selling pressure they face.
200 Day MA 0.893 | Short Percent 0.0212 | Short Ratio 5.74 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 0.5594 |
Playstudios RSI Context
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Playstudios on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02.Playstudios Hype-to-Price View
When Playstudios' news sentiment peaks, stock prices often follow with a lag. Similarly, sentiment troughs can mark price bottoms if fundamental business quality remains intact.
Tracking how Playstudios' sentiment evolves after major announcements helps investors assess whether the market's reaction was proportionate or whether an over-correction created a new entry opportunity in Playstudios.
Playstudios Implied Volatility | 1.48 |
The implied volatility skew for Playstudios options - the difference in implied volatility between puts and calls at different strikes - reveals the market's asymmetric fear of downside versus upside moves in Playstudios' stock.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Playstudios on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02.Playstudios after-hype prediction price | $ 0.5 |
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models and technical indicators.
Playstudios | Build portfolio with Playstudios Stock |
Open Interest Tracking for Playstudios 2026-05-15 Options
Open interest for Playstudios options provides a view of outstanding contracts and broader positioning context.
Playstudios Additional Predictive Modules
Forecasting Playstudios's price movement relies on structured analysis of indicator behavior, momentum signatures, and historical volatility patterns. Forward estimates should be treated as probability-weighted scenarios rather than point predictions.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Playstudios on the next trading day is expected to be 0.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.0005 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.02 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Playstudios Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Playstudios' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Playstudios | Playstudios Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Playstudios' predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. At the moment, the model places downside around 0.01 and upside around 4.52 for the forecasting period.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Playstudios stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Playstudios stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.6955 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0036 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.017 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0301 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.0171 |
The mean reversion framework for Playstudios is built on the premise that markets are not perfectly efficient and that prices periodically overshoot their intrinsic value in both directions.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Visualizing the full distribution of potential Playstudios outcomes discourages binary thinking about investments. Rather than asking whether Playstudios' price will go up or down, the distribution approach asks: what is the range of outcomes and how probable is each?
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The news-based price prediction model for Playstudios is transparent: it measures how Playstudios' has historically reacted to news, not how it will theoretically behave. Playstudios' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.47, respectively. Investors should use this model as one input among many when evaluating Playstudios ahead of anticipated news.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Playstudios assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. The objective is to separate event-driven enthusiasm from a more stable price path once the market absorbs the catalyst.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Playstudios is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Playstudios backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Playstudios, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 4.01 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 9 Events | 6 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.52 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
|
Hype Timeline
Playstudios is now traded for 0.52. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Playstudios is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.17%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Playstudios is about 2970.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.48. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Playstudios recorded a loss per share of 0.29. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 9 days. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Playstudios can be used to cross-verify projections for Playstudios. The analysis adds historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
The peer hype analysis for Playstudios identifies which competitors tend to lead the sector in their news reactions. These leading indicators provide early signals about the direction of Playstudios' upcoming performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKLZ | Skillz Platform | -0.22 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.16 | 5.80 | -6.86 | 31.48 | |
| RDZN | Roadzen | -0.11 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 11.52 | -6.52 | 33.60 | |
| ASYS | Amtech Systems | -0.18 | 9 per month | 6.76 | 0.13 | 7.59 | -7.05 | 47.60 | |
| MX | MagnaChip Semiconductor | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.0036 | 6.34 | -4.78 | 17.25 | |
| GNSS | Genasys | 0.04 | 14 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 4.76 | -4.66 | 19.16 | |
| NRDY | Nerdy Inc | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.15 | 6.00 | -5.88 | 17.72 | |
| OSS | One Stop Systems | -0.53 | 7 per month | 5.12 | 0.1 | 14.78 | -9.51 | 39.65 | |
| VHC | VirnetX Holding Corp | -0.33 | 5 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 8.93 | -9.56 | 25.33 | |
| SLNH | Soluna Holdings | -0.14 | 7 per month | 0.00 | -0.09 | 17.32 | -10.49 | 44.68 | |
| ZENA | ZenaTech | 0.07 | 8 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 11.32 | -9.60 | 35.79 |
Other Forecasting Options for Playstudios
Price movement is the most fundamental factor that determines whether Playstudios is a viable investment for any investor. Playstudios Stock price charts are often noisy, making it difficult to identify meaningful patterns without analytical tools.Playstudios Related Equities
The following equities are related to Playstudios within the Communication Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Playstudios against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Playstudios Market Strength Events
Assessing the market strength of Playstudios stock provides investors with a clearer picture of how the security reacts to evolving market dynamics. These indicators can be used to identify periods when trading Playstudios is most likely to be profitable.
| Accumulation Distribution | 66586.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.2857 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.045 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.02 |
Playstudios Risk Indicators
The analysis of Playstudios' basic risk metrics provides a foundation for forecasting its future price and managing investment risk. Identifying the magnitude of risk in Playstudios' helps investors choose between accepting or hedging their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 3.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.03 | |||
| Variance | 16.24 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Playstudios
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Playstudios can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Playstudios Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Playstudios is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 109.2 M |
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