VICTORY INTEGRITY Mutual Fund Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| MYIMX Fund | USD 24.74 0.12 0.49% |
This page provides Simple Moving Average reference data for Victory Integrity Mid Cap, calculated from historical daily prices. The model output shown here is derived from VICTORY INTEGRITY's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Victory Integrity Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94.The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Victory Integrity Mid Cap price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of VICTORY INTEGRITY. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future The Simple Moving Average reference information for VICTORY INTEGRITY is based on available price data and is intended for informational purposes. Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 26th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Victory Integrity Mid Cap on the next trading day is expected to be 24.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.06 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.94 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VICTORY Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VICTORY INTEGRITY's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern
| Backtest VICTORY INTEGRITY | VICTORY INTEGRITY Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates VICTORY INTEGRITY's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The current forecast range spans downside near 23.75 and upside near 25.61.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VICTORY INTEGRITY mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VICTORY INTEGRITY mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6258 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0137 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2024 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0081 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for VICTORY INTEGRITY
The autocorrelation structure of VICTORY INTEGRITY's daily returns reveals whether VICTORY exhibits momentum, mean-reversion, or random-walk behavior. Separating these elements helps distinguish persistent directional moves from temporary noise in VICTORY Mutual Fund price data.VICTORY INTEGRITY Related Equities
VICTORY INTEGRITY's market space within the Mid-Cap Value space is best grasped by looking at the firms listed below. Looking at VICTORY INTEGRITY's pricing multiples next to these peers shows if the stock trades at a premium or discount.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VICTORY INTEGRITY Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to VICTORY INTEGRITY mutual fund help assess momentum and resilience across environments. These indicators support informed market timing decisions when analyzing VICTORY INTEGRITY.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.74 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.74 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.06 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.12 |
VICTORY INTEGRITY Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for VICTORY INTEGRITY is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VICTORY INTEGRITY's investment and either accepting or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6949 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8721 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8944 | |||
| Variance | 0.7999 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9296 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7605 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -0.70 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for VICTORY INTEGRITY
A coverage review of Victory Integrity Mid Cap shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. A disciplined read of coverage separates durable relevance from temporary noise.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.