Meier Tobler Stock Forward View

MTG Stock  CHF 39.25  0.40  1.01%   
Meier Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Meier Tobler's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Meier Tobler's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Meier Tobler and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Meier Tobler's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Meier Tobler Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Meier Tobler's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.43
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.03
Wall Street Target Price
45
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
Using Meier Tobler hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Meier Tobler Group from the perspective of Meier Tobler response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meier Tobler Group on the next trading day is expected to be 41.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.66.

Meier Tobler after-hype prediction price

    
  CHF 39.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meier Tobler to cross-verify your projections.

Meier Tobler Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Meier price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Meier using various technical indicators. When you analyze Meier charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Meier Tobler is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Meier Tobler Group value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Meier Tobler Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 17th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Meier Tobler Group on the next trading day is expected to be 41.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.66.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meier Tobler's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Meier Tobler Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Meier Tobler  Meier Tobler Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Meier Tobler Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Meier Tobler's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Meier Tobler's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.46 and 42.94, respectively. We have considered Meier Tobler's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
39.25
41.20
Expected Value
42.94
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meier Tobler stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meier Tobler stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.7791
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6994
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0181
SAESum of the absolute errors42.6623
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Meier Tobler Group. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Meier Tobler. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Meier Tobler

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Meier Tobler Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.4739.2140.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.2438.9840.72
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.520.530.54
Details

Meier Tobler After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Meier Tobler at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Meier Tobler or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Meier Tobler, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Meier Tobler Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Meier Tobler's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Meier Tobler's historical news coverage. Meier Tobler's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.47 and 40.95, respectively. We have considered Meier Tobler's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
39.25
39.21
After-hype Price
40.95
Upside
Meier Tobler is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Meier Tobler Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Meier Tobler Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Meier Tobler is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Meier Tobler backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Meier Tobler, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.74
  0.04 
  0.32 
3 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
39.25
39.21
0.10 
580.00  
Notes

Meier Tobler Hype Timeline

Meier Tobler Group is now traded for 39.25on SIX Swiss Exchange of Switzerland. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.32. Meier is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 39.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Meier Tobler is about 66.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.93. About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Meier Tobler was now reported as 14.36. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2025. Meier Tobler Group had 5:1 split on the 10th of April 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Meier Tobler to cross-verify your projections.

Meier Tobler Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Meier Tobler's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Meier Tobler's future price movements. Getting to know how Meier Tobler's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Meier Tobler may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PMNPHOENIX N AG 3.00 5 per month 1.71 (0) 3.09 (3.89) 8.55 
MIKNMikron Holding AG 0.1 4 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.45 (3.86) 19.62 
MEDXmedmix AG 0.12 2 per month 0.86  0.22  2.93 (2.04) 13.55 
KOMNKomax Holding AG 0.50 4 per month 2.14  0.1  4.62 (3.62) 10.87 
SWTQSchweiter Technologies AG 1.50 1 per month 2.98  0.02  4.55 (4.30) 16.81 
METNMetall Zug AG(32.00)2 per month 1.00  0.09  2.87 (1.95) 9.34 
ARBNArbonia AG(0.05)4 per month 2.55  0.08  4.27 (4.19) 13.54 
BYSBystronic AG(0.50)5 per month 1.74 (0) 3.53 (3.05) 8.61 
FTONFeintool International Holding 1.05 3 per month 2.46  0.02  4.18 (4.09) 17.71 
STGNStarrag Group Holding 0.00 0 per month 1.54  0.06  3.62 (2.67) 10.37 

Other Forecasting Options for Meier Tobler

For every potential investor in Meier, whether a beginner or expert, Meier Tobler's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Meier Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Meier. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Meier Tobler's price trends.

Meier Tobler Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Meier Tobler stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Meier Tobler could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Meier Tobler by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Meier Tobler Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Meier Tobler stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Meier Tobler shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Meier Tobler stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Meier Tobler Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Meier Tobler Risk Indicators

The analysis of Meier Tobler's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Meier Tobler's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting meier stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Meier Tobler

The number of cover stories for Meier Tobler depends on current market conditions and Meier Tobler's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Meier Tobler is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Meier Tobler's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Meier Tobler Short Properties

Meier Tobler's future price predictability will typically decrease when Meier Tobler's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Meier Tobler Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Meier Tobler's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Meier Tobler's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.1 M

Additional Tools for Meier Stock Analysis

When running Meier Tobler's price analysis, check to measure Meier Tobler's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Meier Tobler is operating at the current time. Most of Meier Tobler's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Meier Tobler's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Meier Tobler's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Meier Tobler to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.