Meier Tobler Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| MTG Stock | CHF 34.45 -0.10 -0.29% |
This page provides Simple Exponential Smoothing reference data for Meier Tobler Group, calculated from historical daily prices. The forecast output and associated deviation metrics are shown for informational use.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meier Tobler Group on the next trading day is expected to be 34.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.45.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Meier Tobler Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Meier Tobler observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. Meier Tobler's Simple Exponential Smoothing reference data is provided for informational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a trading recommendation. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Meier Tobler Group on the next trading day is expected to be 34.45 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.51 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.45 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Meier Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Meier Tobler's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Meier Tobler | Meier Tobler Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Meier Tobler Group for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 32.57 on the downside to about 36.33 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Meier Tobler stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Meier Tobler stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.6036 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0708 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5075 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0133 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 30.45 |
Other Forecasting Options for Meier Tobler
The price movement of Meier is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Meier Stock price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Meier Tobler Related Equities
The following equities are related to Meier Tobler within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Meier Tobler against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Meier Tobler Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Meier Tobler stock help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Meier Tobler Group.
Meier Tobler Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Meier Tobler is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Meier Tobler's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.78 | |||
| Variance | 3.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Meier Tobler
Story coverage around Meier Tobler Group often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Meier Tobler Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Meier Tobler Group can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13 M |
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