Masco Stock Forward View
| MAS Stock | USD 61.52 0.86 1.42% |
Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth -0.06 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.8779 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1926 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6259 | Wall Street Target Price 80.3158 |
This view frames how Masco responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context. Sentiment is summarized using Masco's options positioning and short interest activity.
Masco Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Masco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Masco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Masco stock and how bullish or bearish investors.
200 Day MA 67.5404 | Short Percent 0.0481 | Short Ratio 2.86 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.7 M | 50 Day MA 69.3054 |
Masco Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Masco on the next trading day is expected to be 57.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.98.Masco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Masco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Masco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Masco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Masco's market sentiment to its price can help traders make decisions based on the overall investor consensus about Masco.
Masco Implied Volatility | 0.61 |
Masco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Masco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Masco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Masco on the next trading day is expected to be 57.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.98.Masco after-hype prediction price | $ 61.37 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masco to cross-verify projections for Masco. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Rule 16 for the current Masco contract - Volatility Context
Using the Rule 16 heuristic, the current implied volatility suggests an average daily move of about 0.0381% for the 2026-04-17 options. With Masco trading near $ 61.52, that translates to about $ 0.0235 per day in either direction.
Open Interest for Masco 2026-04-17 Options
Open interest counts active option contracts on Masco, providing a view of participation and positioning in the options market. It adds context to volatility and price behavior.
Masco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Masco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Masco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Masco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Masco Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Masco's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-12-31 | Previous Quarter 559 M | Current Value 647 M | Quarterly Volatility 532.2 M |
Macro event markers
Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 16th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Masco on the next trading day is expected to be 57.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 , mean absolute percentage error of 4.87 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 109.98 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Masco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Masco's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Masco | Masco Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Masco uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Masco stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Masco stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.6937 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.803 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0264 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 109.9823 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Masco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Masco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Masco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Masco's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Masco assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Masco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Masco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Masco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.17 | 0.15 | 0.07 | 9 Events | 8 Events | In 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
61.52 | 61.37 | 0.24 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 15th of March 2026 Masco is traded for 61.52. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Masco is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 61.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 89.3%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Masco is about 186.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 61.45. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.37. Masco last dividend was issued on the 20th of February 2026. The company completed a 1138:1000 stock split on 1st of July 2015. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 9 days. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Masco to cross-verify projections for Masco. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Masco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Masco's future price movements. Getting to know how Masco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLDR | Builders FirstSource | -0.23 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.42 | -4.95 | 18.44 | |
| CSL | Carlisle Companies Incorporated | -10.31 | 8 per month | 1.71 | 0.07 | 4.11 | -3.46 | 16.50 | |
| OC | Owens Corning | 1.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.0034 | 3.72 | -3.83 | 10.86 | |
| MLI | Mueller Industries | 2.57 | 9 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.25 | -2.07 | 13.77 | |
| CNH | CNH Industrial NV | 0.04 | 10 per month | 1.60 | 0.13 | 4.04 | -3.14 | 10.80 | |
| WMS | Advanced Drainage Systems | 1.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 3.31 | -3.15 | 13.59 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | -1.68 | 28 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2.41 | -2.22 | 6.45 | |
| WCC | WESCO International | 10.45 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.0021 | 4.21 | -4.31 | 12.28 | |
| BLD | Topbuild Corp | -13.80 | 9 per month | 0.00 | -0.07 | 4.50 | -4.21 | 10.74 | |
| LTM | LATAM Airlines Group | -0.81 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.0001 | 3.95 | -5.69 | 11.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Masco
For every potential investor in Masco, whether a beginner or expert, Masco's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Masco Related Equities
The following equities are related to Masco within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Masco against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Masco Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Masco stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Masco shares will generate the highest return on.
Masco Risk Indicators
The analysis of Masco's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Masco's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.2 | |||
| Variance | 4.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.15 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.89 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Masco
Coverage intensity for Masco matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Masco Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Masco matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 210 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 647 M |
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