Macerich Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| MAC Stock | USD 18.72 0.06 0.32% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
This view frames how Macerich Company responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Macerich Company on the next trading day is expected to be 18.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.61.Macerich after-hype prediction price | $ 18.72 |
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Macerich to cross-verify projections for Macerich. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Macerich Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Macerich price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Macerich using various technical indicators. When you analyze Macerich charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Macerich Company on the next trading day is expected to be 18.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.16 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.61 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Macerich Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Macerich's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Macerich | Macerich Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Macerich Company uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Macerich stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Macerich stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0417 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3154 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0167 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.6078 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Macerich's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Macerich at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Macerich's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Macerich's historical news coverage.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Macerich Company assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Macerich is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Macerich backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Macerich, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 1.94 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events | 0 Events | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.72 | 18.72 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
On the 13th of March 2026 Macerich is traded for 18.72. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Macerich is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Macerich is about 900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.71. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Macerich was now reported as 9.53. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.78. Macerich last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2026. The company completed a 1014:1000 stock split on 11th of February 2010. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Macerich to cross-verify projections for Macerich. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Macerich's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Macerich's future price movements. Getting to know how Macerich's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PECO | Phillips Edison Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | 0.18 | 1.95 | -0.86 | 4.30 | |
| REG | Regency Centers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.24 | 1.66 | -1.44 | 4.32 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.82 | 0.15 | 1.98 | -1.55 | 5.47 | |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 4.14 | -3.34 | 13.31 | |
| SLG | SL Green Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.11 | 3.88 | -3.71 | 11.44 | |
| SKT | Tanger Factory Outlet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | 0.08 | 2.15 | -1.71 | 7.81 | |
| CUZ | Cousins Properties Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.05 | 3.26 | -2.86 | 11.95 | |
| EPR | EPR Properties | -1.94 | 6 per month | 1.10 | 0.15 | 2.21 | -2.00 | 7.84 | |
| PSA | Public Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.15 | 0.13 | 2.84 | -1.97 | 6.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for Macerich
For every potential investor in Macerich, whether a beginner or expert, Macerich's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Macerich Related Equities
The following equities are related to Macerich within the Real Estate space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Macerich against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Macerich Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Macerich stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Macerich shares will generate the highest return on.
Macerich Risk Indicators
The analysis of Macerich's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Macerich's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.18 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.75 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.98 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.75 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.35 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Macerich
Coverage intensity for Macerich Company matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Macerich Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Macerich Company matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 256.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 43 M |
More Resources for Macerich Stock Analysis
A structured review of Macerich often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Key ratios help frame profitability, efficiency, and growth context for Macerich Company Stock. Outlined below are key reports that provide context for Macerich Company Stock:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Macerich to cross-verify projections for Macerich. The view provides historical context for the projection set. Analysis related to Macerich should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
The market value of Macerich is measured differently than book value, which reflects Macerich accounting equity. Macerich's market capitalization is 5.03 B. A P/B ratio of 2.03 indicates the market values Macerich above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 9.82 B. Intrinsic value represents an estimate of underlying worth and can differ from both market price and book value. Valuation methods compare these perspectives to frame context.
Note that Macerich's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Macerich, key inputs include a P/E ratio of 53.0, a P/B ratio of 2.03, a profit margin of -18.94%, and ROE of -7.49%. By contrast, market price reflects the level where buyers and sellers transact.