LM Funding Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LMFA Stock | USD 0.32 0.02 5.88% |
LMFA Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast LM Funding stock prices and determine the direction of LM Funding America's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of LM Funding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the relative strength indicator of LM Funding's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.31) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.71) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.72) | Wall Street Target Price 4.5 |
Using LM Funding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LM Funding America from the perspective of LM Funding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.08. LM Funding after-hype prediction price | USD 0.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections. LM Funding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LMFA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LMFA using various technical indicators. When you analyze LMFA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
LM Funding Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of LM Funding America on the next trading day is expected to be 0.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict LMFA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that LM Funding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
LM Funding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest LM Funding | LM Funding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
LM Funding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting LM Funding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. LM Funding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.31, respectively. We have considered LM Funding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of LM Funding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent LM Funding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0061 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0353 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0528 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.0798 |
Predictive Modules for LM Funding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LM Funding America. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.LM Funding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LM Funding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LM Funding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LM Funding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LM Funding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LM Funding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LM Funding's historical news coverage. LM Funding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 6.36, respectively. We have considered LM Funding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LM Funding is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LM Funding America is based on 3 months time horizon.
LM Funding Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LM Funding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LM Funding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LM Funding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.94 | 6.00 | 0.04 | 0.10 | 8 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.32 | 0.36 | 12.50 |
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LM Funding Hype Timeline
LM Funding America is now traded for 0.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. LMFA is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 12.5%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.94%. The volatility of related hype on LM Funding is about 11489.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.42. LM Funding America currently holds 7.7 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.0, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. LM Funding America has a current ratio of 21.75, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about LM Funding's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections.LM Funding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LM Funding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LM Funding's future price movements. Getting to know how LM Funding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LM Funding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NISN | Nisun International Enterprise | 0.17 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 5.21 | (11.02) | 51.13 | |
| ABTS | Abits Group | (0.04) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 10.52 | (10.00) | 30.12 | |
| BLZRW | Trailblazer Acquisition Corp | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 14.58 | (12.16) | 33.24 | |
| ATII | Archimedes Tech SPAC | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.39 | (0.38) | 1.14 | |
| PRHI | Presurance Holdings | 0.06 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 11.11 | (10.95) | 39.14 | |
| CARV | Carver Bancorp | 0.05 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 13.29 | (13.85) | 53.88 | |
| IPCX | Inflection Point Acquisition | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.49 | (0.39) | 1.08 | |
| NPAC | New Providence Acquisition | (0.03) | 2 per month | 0.14 | (0.18) | 0.29 | (0.29) | 1.06 | |
| CNF | CNFinance Holdings | 0.22 | 7 per month | 4.63 | 0.06 | 9.70 | (9.12) | 26.22 |
Other Forecasting Options for LM Funding
For every potential investor in LMFA, whether a beginner or expert, LM Funding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. LMFA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in LMFA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying LM Funding's price trends.LM Funding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with LM Funding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of LM Funding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing LM Funding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
LM Funding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how LM Funding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading LM Funding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying LM Funding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify LM Funding America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
LM Funding Risk Indicators
The analysis of LM Funding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in LM Funding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lmfa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.78 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.82 | |||
| Variance | 46.47 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for LM Funding
The number of cover stories for LM Funding depends on current market conditions and LM Funding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LM Funding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LM Funding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LM Funding Short Properties
LM Funding's future price predictability will typically decrease when LM Funding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LM Funding America often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LM Funding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LM Funding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of LM Funding to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Is Specialized Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LM Funding. Expected growth trajectory for LMFA significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive LM Funding assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.89) | Earnings Share (2.44) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.717 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate LM Funding America using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating LM Funding's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause LM Funding's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that LM Funding's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether LM Funding represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, LM Funding's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.