Lidds AB Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| LIDDS Stock | SEK 0.02 0 11.82% |
Lidds Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Lidds AB's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Lidds AB hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lidds AB from the perspective of Lidds AB response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lidds AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23. Lidds AB after-hype prediction price | SEK 0.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lidds |
Lidds AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lidds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lidds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lidds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lidds AB Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 11th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lidds AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000031, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lidds Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lidds AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lidds AB Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lidds AB | Lidds AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Lidds AB Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lidds AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lidds AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0002 and 25.79, respectively. We have considered Lidds AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lidds AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lidds AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0039 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.149 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.2314 |
Predictive Modules for Lidds AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lidds AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lidds AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lidds AB After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lidds AB at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lidds AB or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lidds AB, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lidds AB Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lidds AB's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lidds AB's historical news coverage. Lidds AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 25.79, respectively. We have considered Lidds AB's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lidds AB is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lidds AB is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lidds AB Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lidds AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lidds AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lidds AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.29 | 25.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 18.70 |
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Lidds AB Hype Timeline
Lidds AB is now traded for 0.02on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lidds is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -18.7%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.29%. The volatility of related hype on Lidds AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Lidds AB was now reported as 0.72. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.1. Lidds AB had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 326:303 split on the 17th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lidds AB to cross-verify your projections.Lidds AB Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lidds AB's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lidds AB's future price movements. Getting to know how Lidds AB's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lidds AB may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GABA | Gabather AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 13.01 | (10.92) | 31.17 | |
| S2M | S2Medical AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.22 | (0.01) | 9.09 | (8.33) | 39.54 | |
| STABL | Stayble Therapeutics AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.34 | (0.01) | 11.11 | (10.00) | 63.79 | |
| CMH | Chordate Medical Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.01 | 0.01 | 32.86 | (23.75) | 187.76 | |
| FLUI | Fluicell AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 7.69 | (7.89) | 34.82 | |
| 2CUREX | 2cureX AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.67 | 0.1 | 13.99 | (16.60) | 168.09 | |
| GUARD | Guard Therapeutics International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.88 | 0.04 | 11.73 | (10.37) | 30.94 |
Other Forecasting Options for Lidds AB
For every potential investor in Lidds, whether a beginner or expert, Lidds AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lidds Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lidds. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lidds AB's price trends.Lidds AB Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lidds AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lidds AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lidds AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lidds AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lidds AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lidds AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lidds AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lidds AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lidds AB Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lidds AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lidds AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lidds stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 13.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.3 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 24.15 | |||
| Variance | 583.15 | |||
| Downside Variance | 320.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 234.13 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (21.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lidds AB
The number of cover stories for Lidds AB depends on current market conditions and Lidds AB's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lidds AB is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lidds AB's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lidds AB Short Properties
Lidds AB's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lidds AB's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lidds AB often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lidds AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lidds AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34 M |
Additional Tools for Lidds Stock Analysis
When running Lidds AB's price analysis, check to measure Lidds AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lidds AB is operating at the current time. Most of Lidds AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lidds AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lidds AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lidds AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.