Lidds AB Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| LIDDS Stock | SEK 0.02 0.00 0.00% |
News-driven analysis for Lidds AB seeks to separate meaningful signals from market noise. By filtering relevant headlines and sentiment trends, this module identifies potential catalysts that may move Lidds AB's price.
At the latest evaluation, Lidds AB posts RSI reading of 45, reflecting mild downside bias. Momentum below the midline but above oversold territory places Lidds AB in a wait-and-see zone for many technical traders.Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
This section summarizes Lidds AB headline activity and related price response context.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lidds AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0032 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19.Lidds AB after-hype prediction price | kr 0.02 |
Hype metrics are shown as one component among forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings context.
Lidds |
Lidds AB Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lidds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lidds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lidds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 17th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lidds AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0032 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000027 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.19 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lidds Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lidds AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lidds AB | Lidds AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lidds AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lidds AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.7368 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 5.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0032 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1351 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.1938 |
Mean reversion in Lidds AB is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Investors who rely solely on expected value estimates for Lidds AB miss the full picture. Lidds AB's probability distribution reveals that expected value can be achieved through very different combinations of outcomes, each with different risk implications.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
The after-news price analysis for Lidds AB is built on the observation that Lidds AB's market reactions to news are not random but follow recognizable patterns. Lidds AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 27.66, respectively. Identifying and quantifying these patterns for Lidds AB is the core purpose of this model.
Current Value
This after-hype projection for Lidds AB uses a 3 months horizon to examine how price may behave after short-term sentiment effects dissipate. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lidds AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lidds AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lidds AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.05 | 27.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.02 | 0.02 | 18.70 |
|
Hype Timeline
Lidds AB is now traded for 0.02on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lidds is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -18.7%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 2.05%. The volatility of related hype on Lidds AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.02. About 19.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Lidds AB was now reported as 0.72. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.1. Lidds AB had not issued any dividends in recent years. The company completed a 326:303 stock split on 17th of January 2023. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain. Lidds AB has a market cap of 56.44 M, operating margin of -8.37%, ROE of -88.78%. Correlation Analysis can help frame allocation decisions. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.Related Hype Analysis
The information ratio and semi-deviation metrics in the peer comparison table for Lidds AB provide a risk-adjusted view of how efficiently Lidds AB's competitors convert news exposure into returns relative to downside risk.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GABA | Gabather AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.99 | 0.12 | 17.74 | -10.56 | 30.18 | |
| S2M | S2Medical AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 12.22 | -8.33 | 39.54 | |
| STABL | Stayble Therapeutics AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.08 | 8.33 | -8.70 | 27.38 | |
| CMH | Chordate Medical Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.75 | 0.04 | 56.58 | -31.25 | 213.33 | |
| FLUI | Fluicell AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.10 | 0.05 | 12.07 | -8.11 | 34.82 | |
| 2CUREX | 2cureX AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 9.27 | 0.09 | 13.99 | -16.60 | 168.09 | |
| GUARD | Guard Therapeutics International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.50 | 0.09 | 11.73 | -7.09 | 30.94 |
Lidds AB Related Equities
The following equities are related to Lidds AB within the Health Care space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Lidds AB against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lidds AB Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators for Lidds AB provide investors with a view of how the stock performs across different market environments. By analyzing these indicators, traders can determine the best moments to enter or exit positions in Lidds AB.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0246 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0246 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.21 |
Lidds AB Risk Indicators
A structured analysis of Lidds AB's risk indicators is one of the most reliable ways to improve the accuracy of price forecasts. Understanding the risk embedded in Lidds AB's allows investors to decide whether to accept, reduce, or hedge their exposure.
| Mean Deviation | 13.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 14.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 24.12 | |||
| Variance | 581.85 | |||
| Downside Variance | 406.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 223.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -25.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Lidds AB
The amount of media and story coverage tied to Lidds AB can signal where market attention is concentrating at the moment. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Lidds AB Short Properties
Reviewing short-oriented indicators for Lidds AB is useful because long and short participants often create very different signals for timing and volatility. This is most valuable when investors want to know whether bearish pressure is starting to shape the market's reaction function.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 34 M |
Additional Tools for Lidds Stock Analysis
| Balance Of Power Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios | |
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Sectors List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Equity Search Search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope | |
| Watchlist Optimization Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm | |
| Volatility Analysis Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data |