JPMorgan Chase Stock Forward View - Downside Variance
| JPM Stock | USD 305.89 0.53 0.17% |
JPMorgan Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although JPMorgan Chase's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of JPMorgan Chase's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of JPMorgan Chase fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of JPMorgan Chase's share price is approaching 46. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling JPMorgan Chase, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.2091 | EPS Estimate Current Year 21.4838 | EPS Estimate Next Year 23.079 | Wall Street Target Price 342.4783 |
Using JPMorgan Chase hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JPMorgan Chase Co from the perspective of JPMorgan Chase response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JPMorgan Chase using JPMorgan Chase's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JPMorgan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JPMorgan Chase's stock price.
JPMorgan Chase Short Interest
An investor who is long JPMorgan Chase may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about JPMorgan Chase and may potentially protect profits, hedge JPMorgan Chase with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 292.8658 | Short Percent 0.0075 | Short Ratio 1.87 | Shares Short Prior Month 23.7 M | 50 Day MA 313.1796 |
JPMorgan Relative Strength Index
JPMorgan Chase Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to JPMorgan Chase's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JPMorgan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JPMorgan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JPMorgan Chase Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JPMorgan Chase's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JPMorgan Chase.
JPMorgan Chase Implied Volatility | 0.35 |
JPMorgan Chase's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JPMorgan Chase Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JPMorgan Chase's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JPMorgan Chase stock will not fluctuate a lot when JPMorgan Chase's options are near their expiration.
JPMorgan Chase after-hype prediction price | USD 305.89 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan Chase to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current JPMorgan contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that JPMorgan Chase Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0219% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With JPMorgan Chase trading at USD 305.89, that is roughly USD 0.0669 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating JPMorgan Chase's daily price movement you should consider acquiring JPMorgan Chase Co options at the current volatility level of 0.35%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 JPMorgan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast JPMorgan Chase's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in JPMorgan Chase's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for JPMorgan Chase stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current JPMorgan Chase's open interest, investors have to compare it to JPMorgan Chase's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of JPMorgan Chase is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in JPMorgan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
JPMorgan Chase Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JPMorgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JPMorgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze JPMorgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Check JPMorgan Chase Volatility | Backtest JPMorgan Chase | Information Ratio |
JPMorgan Chase Trading Date Momentum
| On January 31 2026 JPMorgan Chase Co was traded for 305.89 at the closing time. Highest JPMorgan Chase's price during the trading hours was 307.93 and the lowest price during the day was 302.56 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 31st of January did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 0.21% . |
| Compare JPMorgan Chase to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for JPMorgan Chase
For every potential investor in JPMorgan, whether a beginner or expert, JPMorgan Chase's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPMorgan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPMorgan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPMorgan Chase's price trends.JPMorgan Chase Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPMorgan Chase stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPMorgan Chase could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan Chase by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JPMorgan Chase Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPMorgan Chase stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPMorgan Chase shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPMorgan Chase stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JPMorgan Chase Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
JPMorgan Chase Risk Indicators
The analysis of JPMorgan Chase's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPMorgan Chase's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpmorgan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.9 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.78 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.09) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for JPMorgan Chase
The number of cover stories for JPMorgan Chase depends on current market conditions and JPMorgan Chase's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that JPMorgan Chase is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about JPMorgan Chase's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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JPMorgan Chase Short Properties
JPMorgan Chase's future price predictability will typically decrease when JPMorgan Chase's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of JPMorgan Chase Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential JPMorgan Chase's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. JPMorgan Chase's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 850.5 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan Chase to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Diversified Banks sector continue expanding? Could JPMorgan diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. Expected growth trajectory for JPMorgan significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every JPMorgan Chase data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 5.8 | Earnings Share 20.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.025 |
The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Understanding that JPMorgan Chase's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether JPMorgan Chase represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Meanwhile, JPMorgan Chase's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.