JPMorgan Chase Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| JPM Stock | USD 325.48 0.00 0.00% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JPMorgan Chase Co on the next trading day is expected to be 319.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.23. JPMorgan Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although JPMorgan Chase's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of JPMorgan Chase's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of JPMorgan Chase fundamentals over time.
As of now The relative strength index (RSI) of JPMorgan Chase's share price is above 80 . This indicates that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 82
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.16 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.769 | EPS Estimate Current Year 20.0978 | EPS Estimate Next Year 21.1815 | Wall Street Target Price 328.8696 |
Using JPMorgan Chase hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of JPMorgan Chase Co from the perspective of JPMorgan Chase response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards JPMorgan Chase using JPMorgan Chase's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards JPMorgan using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of JPMorgan Chase's stock price.
JPMorgan Chase Short Interest
An investor who is long JPMorgan Chase may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about JPMorgan Chase and may potentially protect profits, hedge JPMorgan Chase with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 286.0126 | Short Percent 0.0087 | Short Ratio 2.54 | Shares Short Prior Month 25.4 M | 50 Day MA 311.4658 |
JPMorgan Chase Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to JPMorgan Chase's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in JPMorgan. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding JPMorgan can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around JPMorgan Chase Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of JPMorgan Chase's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about JPMorgan Chase.
JPMorgan Chase Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
JPMorgan Chase's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of JPMorgan Chase Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if JPMorgan Chase's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that JPMorgan Chase stock will not fluctuate a lot when JPMorgan Chase's options are near their expiration.
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JPMorgan Chase Co on the next trading day is expected to be 319.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.64 and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.23. JPMorgan Chase after-hype prediction price | USD 325.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of JPMorgan Chase to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 JPMorgan Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast JPMorgan Chase's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in JPMorgan Chase's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for JPMorgan Chase stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current JPMorgan Chase's open interest, investors have to compare it to JPMorgan Chase's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of JPMorgan Chase is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in JPMorgan. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
JPMorgan Chase Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine JPMorgan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for JPMorgan using various technical indicators. When you analyze JPMorgan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JPMorgan Chase 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of JPMorgan Chase Co on the next trading day is expected to be 319.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.64, mean absolute percentage error of 72.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 313.23.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict JPMorgan Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that JPMorgan Chase's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
JPMorgan Chase Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest JPMorgan Chase | JPMorgan Chase Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
JPMorgan Chase Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting JPMorgan Chase's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. JPMorgan Chase's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 318.30 and 321.14, respectively. We have considered JPMorgan Chase's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of JPMorgan Chase stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent JPMorgan Chase stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 85.6369 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -4.5027 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 7.6397 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0242 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 313.2275 |
Predictive Modules for JPMorgan Chase
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as JPMorgan Chase. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for JPMorgan Chase
For every potential investor in JPMorgan, whether a beginner or expert, JPMorgan Chase's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. JPMorgan Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in JPMorgan. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying JPMorgan Chase's price trends.JPMorgan Chase Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with JPMorgan Chase stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of JPMorgan Chase could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan Chase by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
JPMorgan Chase Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of JPMorgan Chase's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of JPMorgan Chase's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
JPMorgan Chase Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how JPMorgan Chase stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading JPMorgan Chase shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying JPMorgan Chase stock market strength indicators, traders can identify JPMorgan Chase Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0153 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 323.24 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 323.98 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 4.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 2.25 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 82.26 |
JPMorgan Chase Risk Indicators
The analysis of JPMorgan Chase's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in JPMorgan Chase's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting jpmorgan stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.41 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.0 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.11) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. If investors know JPMorgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JPMorgan Chase listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.16 | Dividend Share 5.55 | Earnings Share 20.18 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.088 |
The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Chase's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Chase is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Chase's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.