Irisity AB Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| IRIS Stock | SEK 0.12 -0.01 -7.69% |
For short-term price forecasting, Irisity AB's sentiment profile - captured through news flow and social engagement - can be as informative as any financial ratio. This module quantifies and translates that data into a price signal.
According to momentum metrics, Irisity AB reflects RSI of 0, indicating compressed downside momentum. At these depths, Irisity AB may be approaching exhaustion on the sell side, though timing a reversal requires additional confirmation.Momentum
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
The summary frames Irisity AB's price response to attention shifts and peer coverage.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Irisity AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34.Irisity AB after-hype prediction price | kr 0.12 |
This sentiment summary adds context across forecasting, technical, analyst, and earnings perspectives for the stock.
Irisity |
Irisity AB Additional Predictive Modules
Predictive models for Irisity AB combine technical indicators with statistical methods to estimate probable price trajectories. Backtested accuracy does not guarantee forward performance - market structure and volatility regimes evolve.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Irisity AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000081 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Irisity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Irisity AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Irisity AB | Irisity AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
Forecasting Irisity AB for the next session involves measuring the model's historical ability to define credible downside and upside scenarios. Used properly, these levels provide context around forecast dispersion rather than certainty about the next closing print.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Irisity AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Irisity AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.8546 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0056 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0405 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.335 |
The degree to which Irisity AB's exhibits mean reversion depends on how efficiently the market prices new information. In highly covered equities, the mean reversion window tends to be shorter.
After-Hype Price Density Analysis
The after-hype price distribution for Irisity AB helps investors understand how much of Irisity AB's predicted return comes from the central scenario versus tail outcomes. Strategies that rely on tail events for Irisity AB are inherently more speculative.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Historical news patterns for Irisity AB reveal how the market has historically digested different types of information about Irisity AB's business and market environment. Irisity AB's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 6.38, respectively. The model extrapolates these patterns to estimate likely price boundaries following the next significant.
Current Value
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Irisity AB across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.
Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Irisity AB is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Irisity AB backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Irisity AB, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 6.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 0 Events | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.12 | 0.12 | 0.00 |
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Hype Timeline
Irisity AB is currently traded for 0.12on Stockholm Exchange of Sweden. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Irisity is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Irisity AB is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.12. About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.24. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Irisity AB recorded a loss per share of 1.56. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm completed a 182:179 stock split on 1st of December 2017. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Historical Fundamental Analysis of Irisity AB can be used to cross-verify projections for Irisity AB. The view provides historical context for the projection set.Related Hype Analysis
Peer hype analysis helps investors build a more complete picture of Irisity AB's competitive environment by quantifying the market's sensitivity to news across all major players in Irisity AB's sector.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NJOB | NetJobs Group AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.01 | 14.58 | -13.00 | 54.72 | |
| HEGR | Hedera Group publ | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.82 | 0.06 | 9.68 | -6.25 | 30.41 | |
| HELIO | Heliospectra publ AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.35 | 0.06 | 14.94 | -11.36 | 52.42 | |
| MANTEX | Mantex AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.25 | 0.02 | 8.41 | -5.88 | 39.56 | |
| PCOM-B | Precomp Solutions AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 4.60 | -3.33 | 21.45 | |
| NFGAB | Nordic Flanges Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.02 | 3.64 | -3.51 | 9.08 | |
| CIRCHE | CirChem AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.79 | 0.11 | 12.00 | -7.87 | 38.18 | |
| HEXI | Hexicon AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.17 | 0.03 | 8.33 | -10.53 | 119.48 |
Other Forecasting Options for Irisity AB
The price trajectory of Irisity is the primary concern for any investor assessing it as an opportunity. Irisity Stock price charts are filled with noise that can easily mislead uninformed investment decisions.Irisity AB Related Equities
The following equities are related to Irisity AB within the Security & Protection Services space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Irisity AB against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Irisity AB Market Strength Events
Understanding the market strength of Irisity AB stock enables investors to assess the security's momentum and responsiveness to broader market forces. These indicators are essential tools for timing trades in Irisity AB with greater precision.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6931.69 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -1.00 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.01 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.01 |
Irisity AB Risk Indicators
Reviewing Irisity AB's basic risk indicators is essential for investors who want to forecast its price and manage their investment risk effectively. This analysis helps identify the amount of risk involved in holding Irisity AB's and informs decisions about hedging and position.
| Mean Deviation | 3.76 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.98 | |||
| Variance | 35.71 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Irisity AB
Story coverage around Irisity AB often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The practical risk is that faster visibility can increase both interest and skepticism at the same time.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis publishes story content for a diverse readership that includes finance students, independent investors, money managers, and market-focused operating teams. What connects that audience is a focus on building stronger portfolios through better research, risk awareness, and comparative analysis.
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Irisity AB Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Irisity AB can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.3 M |
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