Irisity AB Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| IRIS Stock | SEK 0.12 -0.01 -7.69% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast reference data for Irisity AB is based on the equity's recent trading history. Forecast values and accuracy indicators are summarized on this page for reference. This reference information is provided for analytical context.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Irisity AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Irisity AB forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Irisity AB observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. The Simple Exponential Smoothing projections for Irisity AB are reference data based on historical daily prices and are provided as informational context. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Irisity AB on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.000072 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.35 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Irisity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Irisity AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Irisity AB | Irisity AB Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Irisity AB's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 0.0012 on the downside to about 6.61 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Irisity AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Irisity AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.5778 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0058 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0418 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3512 |
Other Forecasting Options for Irisity AB
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Irisity Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Irisity AB's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Irisity AB's returns can persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Irisity AB Related Equities
These related stocks within the Security & Protection Services space give benchmarks for judging Irisity AB's results, margins, and growth trend. Return on equity across these peers shows how well each firm turns capital into profit.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Irisity AB Market Strength Events
Analyzing market strength indicators for Irisity AB enables investors to understand relative stock momentum. These tools help identify favorable windows for position changes in Irisity AB. Market strength indicators support more precise timing of Irisity AB positions across market cycles.
Irisity AB Risk Indicators
Identifying and analyzing Irisity AB's key risk indicators is a foundational step in projecting how its price may evolve. This process involves measuring the level of investment risk in Irisity AB's and determining how best to manage it. Studying Irisity AB's risk indicators helps investors understand the risk level of irisity stock.
| Mean Deviation | 3.9 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.35 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.07 | |||
| Variance | 36.9 | |||
| Downside Variance | 60.52 | |||
| Semi Variance | 18.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -9.25 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Irisity AB
A coverage review of Irisity AB shows when the security is attracting above-average attention from contributors and market observers. Used properly, this context can help investors judge whether visibility is reinforcing the thesis or attracting more speculative pressure.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Macroaxis story coverage is designed for a broad investing audience that ranges from self-directed traders to advisers, researchers, and institutional market participants. The content is intended to support people who want a more structured path from headline information to portfolio action.
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Irisity AB Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Irisity AB matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. A disciplined short-interest review can make timing decisions more informed under rising skepticism.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 27.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.3 M |
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