Inpost SA Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

INPST Stock  EUR 15.06  -0.04  -0.26%   
As of today, the short-cycle RSI for Inpost SA is 0, signaling extreme oversold conditions. Readings below 20 are commonly associated with potential stabilization zones.
Momentum
Buy Stretched
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Inpost SA's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Inpost SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Key fundamental drivers for Inpost SA's price forecast:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.33
 EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.228
 EPS Estimate Current Year
2.4625
 EPS Estimate Next Year
3.2129
 Wall Street Target Price
17.3012
This view frames how Inpost SA responds to recent headlines and peer activity within its market context.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Inpost SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.28.
Inpost SA after-hype prediction price
    
  € 15.06  
Sentiment indicators are one input among forecasting models, technical signals, analyst estimates, earnings data, and momentum measures.
  
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inpost SA to cross-verify projections for Inpost SA. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Inpost SA Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Inpost price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Inpost using various technical indicators. When you analyze Inpost charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Inpost SA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Inpost SA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 13th of March 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Inpost SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.88 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.28 .
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inpost Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inpost SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Inpost SA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Inpost SA  Inpost SA Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Inpost SA Forecasted Value

This next-day forecast for Inpost SA uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Market Value
15.06
16.23
Expected Value
20.70
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inpost SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inpost SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.817
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7627
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0589
SAESum of the absolute errors47.2844
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Inpost SA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Inpost SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6215.0619.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.9716.4120.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
14.3315.0915.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.440.980.70
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inpost SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inpost SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits.

Inpost SA After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Inpost SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Inpost SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Inpost SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Inpost SA's historical news coverage.
Current Value
15.06
15.06
After-hype Price
19.50
Upside
The after-hype framework applied to Inpost SA assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.

Inpost SA Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Inpost SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Inpost SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Inpost SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.73 
4.47
  0.21 
  0.07 
11 Events
2 Events
In 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.06
15.06
0.00 
1,541  
Notes

Inpost SA Hype Timeline

Inpost SA is currently traded for 15.06on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The company has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Inpost is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on Inpost SA is about 4858.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.99. About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90-day trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 11 days.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Inpost SA to cross-verify projections for Inpost SA. The view provides historical context for the projection set.

Inpost SA Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Inpost SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Inpost SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Inpost SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
RANDRandstad NV-1.94 3 per month 0.00 -0.12 3.09 -3.50 16.40
ARCADArcadis NV-1.42 2 per month 0.00 -0.13 2.77 -4.93 13.88
AALBAalberts Industries NV-0.80 2 per month 1.44 0.11 4.04 -2.18 12.78
BAMNBKoninklijke BAM Groep 0.29 2 per month 1.80 0.03 3.97 -3.28 9.07
LIGHTSignify NV 0.68 3 per month 0.00 -0.02 3.24 -2.85 20.73
THEONTheon International Plc-1.40 3 per month 2.84 0.04 5.94 -5.14 17.04
HEIJMKoninklijke Heijmans NV 7.45 2 per month 1.54 0.15 4.65 -3.37 20.29
BRNLBrunel International NV-0.08 3 per month 0.00 -0.10 2.26 -2.92 9.93
FERGRFerrari Group PLC-0.70 5 per month 0.00 -0.01 3.86 -4.28 11.14
HYDRAHydratec Industries NV-3.00 2 per month 0.82 0.17 3.00 -1.83 9.76

Other Forecasting Options for Inpost SA

For every potential investor in Inpost, whether a beginner or expert, Inpost SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.

Inpost SA Related Equities

The following equities are related to Inpost SA within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Inpost SA against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Inpost SA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inpost SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inpost SA shares will generate the highest return on.

Inpost SA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Inpost SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inpost SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Inpost SA

Coverage intensity for Inpost SA matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Story coverage on Macroaxis is built for readers who approach markets from different levels of experience but share the same need for disciplined investment context. Used well, these stories become part of a broader workflow built around idea generation, validation, and risk-adjusted portfolio design.

Inpost SA Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to Inpost SA matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding502.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments780.5 M

More Resources for Inpost Stock Analysis

Other Information on Investing in Inpost Stock

Inpost SA financial ratios help frame valuation context across profits, cash flow, and enterprise value. They help compare Inpost to other measures in a consistent way.