Inpost SA Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| INPST Stock | EUR 14.95 -0.08 -0.53% |
This reference page presents Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Inpost SA. The model output shown here is derived from Inpost SA's historical price series and is provided for informational purposes.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inpost SA on the next trading day is expected to be 14.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.17.This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Inpost SA forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Inpost SA observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations. This Simple Exponential Smoothing forecast data for Inpost SA is sourced from the most recent available trading data and is intended solely as reference information. Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 22nd of March
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Inpost SA on the next trading day is expected to be 14.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.28 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.17 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Inpost Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Inpost SA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Stock Forecast Pattern
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Forecasted Value
For the next trading day, Macroaxis evaluates Inpost SA's predictive range by looking for statistically meaningful downside and upside boundaries. The projected forecast band currently runs from roughly 10.55 on the downside to about 19.35 on the upside.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Inpost SA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Inpost SA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.8522 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0782 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1995 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0143 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Inpost SA
For every potential investor in Inpost, whether a beginner or expert, Inpost SA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better.Inpost SA Related Equities
The following equities are related to Inpost SA within the Industrials space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Inpost SA against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Inpost SA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Inpost SA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Inpost SA shares will generate the highest return on.
| Accumulation Distribution | 33329.58 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | -0.73 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 15.01 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.99 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | -0.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | -0.08 |
Inpost SA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Inpost SA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Inpost SA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it.
| Mean Deviation | 1.76 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.961 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.29 | |||
| Variance | 18.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.51 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9235 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -2.33 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Inpost SA
Story coverage around Inpost SA often expands when market conditions, narrative momentum, or risk-adjusted performance make the security more visible to investors. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Inpost SA Short Properties
Short-interest signals around Inpost SA can help investors judge whether skeptical positioning is starting to pressure price predictability and market tone. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 497.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 952.1 M |
More Resources for Inpost Stock Analysis
Other Information on Investing in Inpost Stock
Financial ratios for Inpost SA show relationships between important financial metrics. They frame financial performance across earnings, cash flow, and valuation.