Ingram Micro Stock Forward View
| INGM Stock | 22.18 0.02 0.09% |
Momentum
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Hype-based context for Ingram Micro Holding connects recent headlines with price response and peer activity.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ingram Micro Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 23.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.36.Ingram Micro after-hype prediction price | $ 22.18 |
This sentiment layer is designed to be read with forecasting, technical, analyst, earnings, and momentum context.
Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingram Micro to cross-verify projections for Ingram Micro. The historical series provides projection context.Ingram Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ingram price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ingram using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ingram charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ingram Micro Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of March 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ingram Micro Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 23.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.58 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.84 , and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.36 .Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ingram Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ingram Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ingram Micro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ingram Micro | Ingram Micro Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Ingram Micro Forecasted Value
This next-day forecast for Ingram Micro Holding uses model performance to estimate practical downside and upside boundaries rather than a single point target alone. Investors should still remember that no empirical framework consistently proves that one family of forecasting models will outperform all other approaches in live markets.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ingram Micro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ingram Micro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9405 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5797 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.026 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 35.3631 |
Mean reversion in Ingram Micro's price occurs when temporary dislocations - caused by sentiment extremes, news events, or liquidity shocks - correct back toward the stock's historical fair value.
Ingram Micro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
Understanding Ingram Micro's probability distribution helps investors calibrate position size to their risk tolerance. The tails of the Ingram Micro distribution capture low-probability but high-impact outcomes that naive point estimates ignore.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ingram Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
Using Ingram Micro's historical news impact data, we estimate the likely price corridor for the next trading session after a significant headline. Ingram Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.60 and 25.76, respectively. Note that past news reactions for Ingram Micro are not guaranteed to repeat, particularly in novel market environments.
Current Value
The after-hype framework applied to Ingram Micro Holding assumes a 3 months review window and focuses on post-sentiment normalization rather than raw momentum. This view is most useful when investors want to compare sentiment-driven price extension with a more measured post-news scenario.
Ingram Micro Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ingram Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ingram Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ingram Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 3.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events | 4 Events | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.18 | 22.18 | 0.00 |
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Ingram Micro Hype Timeline
Ingram Micro Holding is currently traded for 22.18. The company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ingram is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ingram Micro is about 461.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.18. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ingram Micro Holding last dividend was issued on the 10th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingram Micro to cross-verify projections for Ingram Micro. The historical series provides projection context.Ingram Micro Related Hype Analysis
Understanding how Ingram Micro's direct competitors react to news events helps investors anticipate contagion effects and sector-wide sentiment shifts that may affect Ingram Micro's performance.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DLB | Dolby Laboratories | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.04 | 2.67 | -2.18 | 9.25 | |
| WEX | Wex Inc | 3.72 | 10 per month | 2.25 | 0.05 | 3.59 | -3.62 | 14.87 | |
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.00 | -0.13 | 1.94 | -4.65 | 20.62 | |
| SAIC | Science Applications International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 3.99 | -3.86 | 21.96 | |
| VNT | Vontier Corp | 0.31 | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.06 | 3.42 | -2.80 | 8.90 | |
| ARW | Arrow Electronics | 3.72 | 11 per month | 1.27 | 0.16 | 3.50 | -2.50 | 15.74 | |
| G | Genpact Limited | 0.84 | 12 per month | 0.00 | -0.12 | 2.89 | -3.57 | 13.88 | |
| KD | Kyndryl Holdings | -1.13 | 6 per month | 0.00 | -0.1 | 6.43 | -6.44 | 61.35 | |
| CWAN | Clearwater Analytics Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.53 | 0.1 | 1.32 | -1.05 | 9.67 | |
| PSFE | Paysafe | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | -0.03 | 5.73 | -4.81 | 22.20 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ingram Micro
The price movement of Ingram is a central concern for all potential investors, regardless of their level of expertise. Ingram Stock price charts can be difficult to interpret due to the noise present in the data.Ingram Micro Related Equities
The following equities are related to Ingram Micro within the Information Technology space and can be used for peer comparison, relative valuation, or portfolio diversification. Comparing Ingram Micro against peers on metrics such as P/E, margins, and return on equity helps contextualize its positioning and identify relative strengths or weaknesses.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ingram Micro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators applied to Ingram Micro stock help investors assess the relative momentum and resilience of the security in different market environments. By using these indicators, traders can make more informed decisions about when to buy or sell Ingram Micro Holding.
Ingram Micro Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Ingram Micro is essential for accurately projecting its future price trajectory. By identifying the level of risk embedded in Ingram Micro's investment, investors can make informed decisions about position sizing and risk mitigation.
| Mean Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.58 | |||
| Variance | 12.81 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ingram Micro
Coverage intensity for Ingram Micro Holding matters because narrative visibility can influence sentiment, participation, and volatility around the name. The stronger process compares story flow with performance, theme classification, and the level of short-term market interest.
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Ingram Micro Short Properties
Short sentiment tied to Ingram Micro Holding matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. Used correctly, these measures can help investors decide when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 235.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
More Resources for Ingram Stock Analysis
A structured review of Ingram Micro Holding often starts with core financial statements and trend context. Ratios and trend metrics help frame Ingram Micro's operating context. Key reports that frame Ingram Micro Holding Stock are listed below:Use Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ingram Micro to cross-verify projections for Ingram Micro. The historical series provides projection context. Analysis related to Ingram Micro should be read together with other portfolio and risk tools before capital is reallocated. That is especially important when the goal is to improve the overall mix of instruments already held. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
The market value of Ingram Micro Holding is measured differently than book value, which reflects Ingram accounting equity. Ingram Micro's market capitalization is 5.21 B. A P/B ratio of 1.23 indicates the market values Ingram Micro above its accounting book value. Enterprise value stands at 7.01 B. Intrinsic value is an analytical estimate of Ingram Micro's underlying worth that can differ from price and book value. Valuation methods help interpret those gaps.
Note that Ingram Micro's intrinsic value and market price are different measures derived from different inputs. For Ingram Micro, key inputs include a P/B ratio of 1.23, a profit margin of 0.62%, ROE of 8.22%, and revenue of 52.56 B. Market price reflects the current exchange level formed by active bids and offers.