Science Applications International Stock Price Patterns

SAIC Stock  USD 96.87  0.13  0.13%   
Based on the latest data, the relative strength indicator for Science Applications stands at 50, indicating neutral momentum. Values near 50 generally reflect equilibrium between upward and downward pressure.
Momentum
 Impartial
 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The gap between Science Applications' market price and intrinsic value is often widened by investor sentiment. This module isolates the sentiment-driven component of Science Applications' price to highlight potential mispricings. Filtering relevant headlines and sentiment trends surfaces potential catalysts that may move Science Applications' price. This forecast helps investors assess whether Science Applications' current price reflects sentiment or fundamentals. Primary fundamentals used for Science Applications' price context:
 Quarterly Earnings Growth
-0.06
 EPS Estimate Current Year
9.9918
 EPS Estimate Next Year
9.563
 Wall Street Target Price
112.8889
 EPS Estimate Current Quarter
2.015
Headline activity for Science Applications International is mapped to recent price behavior. Media coverage intensity is tracked alongside Science Applications' market behavior. Sentiment is summarized using Science Applications' options positioning and short interest activity. The overview captures sentiment patterns without advisory intent.

Science Applications Short Interest Context

Tracking short interest for Science Applications adds a positioning dimension to the analytical view. The figures are grounded in exchange-reported price and volume records.
 200 Day MA
102.3251
 Short Percent
0.0618
 Short Ratio
3.29
 Shares Short Prior Month
2.5 M
 50 Day MA
97.6014

Hype-to-Price Context for Science Applications

The sentiment framework for Science Applications connects headline activity with price context. All metrics are computed from historical trading data across available periods.
This view compares attention trends with price response for Science Applications. The view helps organize attention cycles alongside price movement.
Science Applications Implied Volatility
    
  0.46  
Market-implied volatility for Science Applications captures how much uncertainty is priced into options. The implied volatility level provides context for expected price behavior over the near term.
Hype signals for Science Applications reflect how market attention changes over time. Performance context and volatility signals are integrated with the attention data.
Science Applications after-hype prediction price
    
  $ 96.87  
The sentiment panel provides context that can be compared with forecasting models. The broader framework includes earnings trends and momentum indicators for context.

Rule 16 Summary for current Science contract

The Rule 16 framework implies a daily move near 0.0288% for 2026-05-15 option pricing. This view summarizes implied volatility inputs.
Science Applications Basic Forecasting Models add a structured statistical layer to the projection analysis for Science Applications.
The mean reversion principle applied to Science Applications' suggests that neither prolonged outperformance nor underperformance is permanent. Identifying the root cause of Science Applications' price dislocation is essential before acting on a mean reversion signal. The mean reversion tendency in Science Applications' price is a well-documented phenomenon in academic research. In many cases, Science Applications' price extremes present statistical patterns that have recurred historically.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
94.4897.47100.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
89.0892.0895.09
Details
Analyst
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
102.73112.89125.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.202.292.37
Details
No single-company analysis of Science Applications is complete without peer benchmarking. A company that looks attractive in isolation may be significantly outperformed by competitors. Standalone analysis captures Science Applications's individual story, but peers reveal if it is truly exceptional. Disciplined peer analysis separates conviction-grade insights from superficial Science Applications observations.

After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Financial return distributions for assets like Science Applications are rarely normal and often exhibit fat tails. The tails of the Science Applications distribution capture low-probability but high-impact outcomes that point estimates ignore. Any model claiming to eliminate forecasting uncertainty for Science Applications overstates its accuracy. Probability distribution analysis is most useful for Science Applications when combined with fundamental context and sentiment data.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

The projected after-hype price range for Science Applications is derived from Science Applications' historical news coverage and market behavior. Science Applications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 93.87 and 99.87, respectively. These boundaries reflect how Science Applications has historically moved in response to comparable catalysts.
Current Value
96.87
96.87
After-hype Price
99.87
Upside
Macroaxis estimates the after-hype price of Science Applications International across a 3 months horizon to evaluate where the instrument could settle once headline distortion subsides. The practical value is that it frames how far price could retrace or stabilize once the headline cycle loses intensity.

Price Outlook Analysis

Sudden rallies in Science Applications without backing data often point to speculative buying or fund shifts. Big-money trading in Science Applications can push price moves well past what the core data would suggest.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
3.03
  0.02 
  0.02 
16 Events
7 Events
In 16 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
96.87
96.87
0.00 
606.00  
Notes

Hype Timeline

Science Applications is at this time traded for 96.87. The company has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Science is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Science Applications is about 607.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 96.89. About 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Science Applications was at this time reported as 34.09. The company recorded earnings per share (EPS) of 7.82. Science Applications had its last dividend issued on the 10th of April 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 16 days.
Science Applications Basic Forecasting Models add a structured statistical layer to the projection analysis for Science Applications.

Related Hype Analysis

Analyzing Science Applications' peer hype data reveals which competitors are most likely to influence Science Applications's short-term price. Hype elasticity, information ratio, and semi-deviation help contextualize the relative news sensitivity of Science Applications. The peer hype summary table for Science Applications serves as a competitive intelligence tool for Science Applications' sector. Cross-referencing Science Applications' peer reactions with Science Applications's own news response reveals the degree of sector correlation.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PSFEPaysafe 2.44 3 per month 0.00 -0.02 5.73 -4.81 24.64
AVTAvnet Inc 1.41 10 per month 1.04 0.17 3.60 -1.86 17.63
NIQNIQ Global Intelligence-0.04 7 per month 0.00 -0.09 4.93 -5.95 25.33
VRRMVerra Mobility Corp-0.50 7 per month 0.00 -0.22 2.09 -3.62 17.39
INGMIngram Micro Holding 1.53 9 per month 3.63 0.04 4.02 -4.17 30.64
PAYPaymentus Holdings-0.50 21 per month 0.00 -0.08 3.60 -5.46 13.36
VICRVicor 0.06 20 per month 4.86 0.22 7.88 -8.80 27.82
DLODlocal 0.06 20 per month 0.00 -0.02 4.78 -4.49 12.55
SLABSilicon Laboratories-0.17 12 per month 0.96 0.14 4.49 -2.79 49.65
CNXCConcentrix 0.70 12 per month 0.00 -0.02 5.72 -9.35 19.57

Science Applications Additional Predictive Modules

Estimating Science's future direction requires layering technical signals with statistical measures of trend persistence and volatility. Predictive models for Science work best when confirmed by real-time indicator readings.

Sentiment Indicators & Methodology

Sentiment analysis for Science Applications evaluates news tone, positioning, and narrative momentum. Narrative alignment can reinforce trend persistence in certain regimes. Science Applications has a market cap of 4.45 B, P/E of 30.77, ROE of 23.27%.

Inputs for Science Applications International come from periodic company reporting and market reference feeds and are mapped into a consistent reporting framework. Analyst projections are included when active coverage applies. Some fields can appear with publication lag.

This content is curated and reviewed by:

Michael Smolkin - Member of Macroaxis Board of Directors
Last reviewed on March 18th, 2026

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